Ticker League

Fair Value for CrowdStrike (CRWD)

See growth priced into CrowdStrike (CRWD): reverse DCF, implied rate vs history and analysts, FCF view. Free intrinsic value calculator for education.

Fair value (multi-method)

Four independent methods triangulate what CRWD is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.

Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)

Method range

$8.63 $3,475.75

median $682.62

Methods disagree

Valuation methods

Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.

  • Forward DCF
  • Exit multiple$3,475.75
  • Analyst target$682.62
  • Graham number$8.63

Stock price

$671.02

FCF / share (TTM)

$1.94

3Y FCF CAGR

27.2%

Fair value @ hist. growth

$140.55

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.

Implied FCF growth

50.6%

per year over your projection horizon

Premium vs DCF

Margin of safety -377.4% vs hist-growth DCF

Historical 3Y CAGR

27.2%

Your model implies

50.6%

Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.

Model inputs

Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.

Discount rate (cost of equity proxy)10.8%
Terminal growth2.50%
Projection years10 yr
FCF growth per year (supplemental projection)27%
3Y CAGR 27%

Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 27% annual growth.

Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions

Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.

Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
8.8%46.4%45.5%44.5%43.4%42.2%
9.8%49.4%48.5%47.7%46.7%45.7%
10.8%52.1%51.4%50.6%49.8%48.9%
11.8%54.7%54.1%53.4%52.6%51.8%
12.8%57.3%56.6%56.0%55.3%54.6%
Color≤ historical CAGRModerate premiumHigh premium (≥ 15pp above hist)Your inputs

Historical multiples

Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.

P/EToday781.4· flat range
5Y low781.4
Median781.4
5Y high781.4
P/SToday23.2
5Y low11.0
Median23.2
5Y high28.3
EV/EBITDAToday586.8· at high
5Y low228.8
Median318.5
5Y high586.8

Net cash

$4.4B

Total debt − cash

Beta

1.24

Vs market benchmark

Frequently asked questions

Explore more

Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation