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Fair Value for CrowdStrike (CRWD)

See growth priced into CrowdStrike (CRWD): reverse DCF, implied rate vs history and analysts, FCF view. Free intrinsic value calculator for education.

Fair value (multi-method)

Four independent methods triangulate what CRWD is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.

Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)

Method range

$1.68 $878.06

median $181.82

Methods disagree

Valuation methods

Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.

  • Forward DCF
  • Exit multiple$878.06
  • Analyst target$181.82
  • Graham number$1.68

Stock price

$188.42

FCF / share (TTM)

$0.49

3Y FCF CAGR

27.2%

Fair value @ hist. growth

$34.66

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.

Implied FCF growth

52.7%

per year over your projection horizon

Premium vs DCF

Margin of safety -443.7% vs hist-growth DCF

Historical 3Y CAGR

27.2%

Your model implies

52.7%

Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.

Model inputs

Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.

Discount rate (cost of equity proxy)10.9%
Terminal growth2.50%
Projection years10 yr
FCF growth per year (supplemental projection)27%
3Y CAGR 27%

Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 27% annual growth.

Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions

Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.

Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
8.9%48.5%47.6%46.6%45.5%44.3%
9.9%51.4%50.6%49.7%48.8%47.8%
10.9%54.2%53.5%52.7%51.9%51.0%
11.9%56.9%56.2%55.5%54.7%53.9%
12.9%59.4%58.8%58.2%57.5%56.8%
Color≤ historical CAGRModerate premiumHigh premium (≥ 15pp above hist)Your inputs

Historical multiples

Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.

P/EToday790.6· flat range
5Y low790.6
Median790.6
5Y high790.6
P/SToday23.2
5Y low11.0
Median23.2
5Y high28.3
EV/EBITDAToday586.8· at high
5Y low228.8
Median318.5
5Y high586.8

Net cash

$4.41B

Total debt − cash

Beta

1.24

Vs market benchmark

Frequently asked questions

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