Cisco (CSCO) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 85% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.44), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, CSCO sits noticeably below the Technology sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Jul 6, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.42.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 85%-10pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.44+0.28 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 85% | -10pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.44 | +0.28 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.99% | -0.66pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 55% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.20% | +1.41pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 27 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Confirmed by company declaration.
| Dividend | $0.42 |
| Per-event yield | 0.54% |
| Annualized yield | 1.39% |
| Previously paid | Apr 2, 2026 ($0.42) |
| Last record date | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Apr 22, 2026 |
CSCO Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Cisco (CSCO). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.42 | -1.55% | $77.93 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.78% | +6.04% | |
| Q1 | $0.41 | -0.49% | $77.03 | 16 | no | yes | -5.49% | -3.56% | |
| Q4 | $0.41 | -0.53% | $68.31 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.20% | +0.06% | |
| Q3 | $0.41 | -0.60% | $68.59 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.35% | -0.34% | |
| Q2 | $0.41 | -3.95% | $61.82 | 27 | no | yes | -15.71% | -7.80% | |
| Q1 | $0.40 | -0.44% | $59.10 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.57% | +0.10% | |
| Q4 | $0.40 | -0.64% | $52.74 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.16% | +2.31% | |
| Q3 | $0.40 | -1.40% | $47.09 | 6 | no | yes | -3.06% | +1.47% | |
| Q2 | $0.40 | -1.13% | $49.36 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.08% | +0.51% | |
| Q1 | $0.39 | -0.67% | $50.51 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.14% | +0.24% | |
| Q4 | $0.39 | -0.97% | $54.39 | 10 | no | yes | -3.33% | -0.24% | |
| Q3 | $0.39 | -1.64% | $51.82 | 5 | yes | yes | -3.40% | -1.33% | |
| Q2 | $0.39 | -0.54% | $52.31 | >30 | no | no | -4.32% | -3.46% | |
| Q1 | $0.38 | 0.71% | $47.94 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.46% | +3.44% | |
| Q4 | $0.38 | 0.65% | $41.29 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.51% | -3.22% | |
| Q3 | $0.38 | -2.54% | $42.60 | 2 | yes | yes | -4.18% | +1.50% | |
| Q2 | $0.38 | -1.20% | $55.87 | >30 | no | no | -9.07% | -6.57% | |
| Q1 | $0.37 | -1.14% | $63.16 | >30 | no | no | -5.81% | -0.66% | |
| Q4 | $0.37 | -1.16% | $55.14 | 4 | yes | yes | -3.92% | +0.29% | |
| Q3 | $0.37 | -0.47% | $53.44 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.06% | +0.30% |
- +6.04%
- -3.56%
- +0.06%
- -0.34%
- -7.80%
- +0.10%
- +2.31%
- +1.47%
- +0.51%
- +0.24%
- -0.24%
- -1.33%
- -3.46%
- +3.44%
- -3.22%
- +1.50%
- -6.57%
- -0.66%
- +0.29%
- +0.30%
CSCO Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 9 | 45% | |
| 2–3 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 4–5 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 6–10 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 11–30 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 30+ | 3 | 15% |
CSCO Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with CSCO's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $84.00
- After-tax dividend
- $54.60
- Slippage round-trip
- -$15.59
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$39.01
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.25%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~12.6%
CSCO Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical CSCO ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · CSCO (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.69% | |
| +0.67% | |
| -0.66% | |
| -6.57% | |
| +0.89% | |
| +0.92% | |
| +0.79% | |
| -3.46% | |
| +0.75% | |
| -0.24% | |
| +0.77% | |
| +0.81% | |
| +1.47% | |
| +0.76% | |
| +0.68% | |
| -7.80% | |
| +0.60% | |
| +0.60% | |
| -3.56% | |
| +0.54% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.