Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what CSCO is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$36.69
Method range
$15.40 – $122.30
median $55.09
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $36.69 | -69.84% |
| Exit multiple | $73.49 | -39.58% |
| Analyst target | $122.30 | +0.54% |
| Graham number | $15.40 | -87.34% |
- Forward DCF$36.69
- Exit multiple$73.49
- Analyst target$122.30
- Graham number$15.40
Stock price
$121.64
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.90
3Y FCF CAGR
-1.2%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$10.64
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
31.8%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -1043.5% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-1.2%
Your model implies
31.8%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -1% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.1% | 27.7% | 26.7% | 25.5% | 24.2% | 22.8% |
| 8.1% | 30.7% | 29.8% | 28.8% | 27.7% | 26.6% |
| 9.1% | 33.4% | 32.6% | 31.8% | 30.9% | 29.9% |
| 10.1% | 35.9% | 35.2% | 34.5% | 33.7% | 32.9% |
| 11.1% | 38.3% | 37.7% | 37.1% | 36.4% | 35.6% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
5.28
Demanding vs growth
Net debt
$19.7B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.91
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Cisco (CSCO) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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