Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what CTAS is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$172.91
Method range
$19.21 – $231.25
median $176.34
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $172.91 | -14.13% |
| Exit multiple | $179.78 | -10.72% |
| Analyst target | $231.25 | +14.84% |
| Graham number | $19.21 | -90.46% |
- Forward DCF$172.91
- Exit multiple$179.78
- Analyst target$231.25
- Graham number$19.21
Stock price
$201.36
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.53
3Y FCF CAGR
10.8%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$42.74
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
32.0%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -371.1% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
10.8%
Your model implies
32.0%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 11% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.3% | 28.0% | 27.0% | 25.9% | 24.7% | 23.3% |
| 8.3% | 30.9% | 30.1% | 29.1% | 28.1% | 27.0% |
| 9.3% | 33.6% | 32.8% | 32.0% | 31.2% | 30.2% |
| 10.3% | 36.1% | 35.4% | 34.7% | 33.9% | 33.1% |
| 11.3% | 38.5% | 37.9% | 37.2% | 36.5% | 35.8% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
42.88
Demanding vs growth
Net debt
$2.42B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.93
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Cintas (CTAS) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks1.38% TTM
- Dividend Profile0.89% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History6 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.