Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what CTVA is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$75.17
Method range
$29.54 – $143.54
median $82.16
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $75.17 | -2.41% |
| Exit multiple | $143.54 | +86.34% |
| Analyst target | $89.14 | +15.72% |
| Graham number | $29.54 | -61.65% |
- Forward DCF$75.17
- Exit multiple$143.54
- Analyst target$89.14
- Graham number$29.54
Stock price
$77.03
EPS (TTM)
$1.70
5Y EPS CAGR
11.9%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$75.17
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
12.3%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -2.5% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
11.9%
Your model implies
12.3%
Analyst consensus for next year implies 120% — beyond the model's annualised scale. Consensus reflects a one-step EPS estimate vs TTM, not a multi-year CAGR.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| 6.4% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% |
| 7.4% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 10.1% |
| 8.4% | 16.5% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 13.2% |
| 9.4% | 18.8% | 18.1% | 17.5% | 16.8% | 16.0% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net cash
$1.9B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.57
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Corteva (CTVA) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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