DHI dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 100% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
D.R. Horton (DHI) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.08), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, DHI sits roughly in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Aug 6, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.45.
Touch rate (30d)
100%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.08
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.08 | -0.13 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.30% | +0.12pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 55% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -4.43% | in line with sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 21 | — |
Confirmed by company declaration.
Dividend
$0.45
Per-event yield
0.30%
Annualized yield
1.23%
Previously paid
May 7, 2026 ($0.45)
Last record date
May 7, 2026
Last payment date
May 14, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for D.R. Horton (DHI). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.45 | -0.29% | $149.17 | 1 | yes | yes | -10.28% | -6.27% | |
| Q1 | $0.45 | -0.30% | $158.22 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.21% | +4.31% | |
| Q4 | $0.45 | -1.42% | $146.03 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.73% | -5.66% | |
| Q3 | $0.40 | 0.43% | $154.06 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.17% | +6.65% | |
| Q2 | $0.40 | 0.39% | $125.55 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.35% | -2.49% | |
| Q1 | $0.40 | -0.92% | $136.17 | 21 | no | yes | -8.77% | -3.82% | |
| Q4 | $0.40 | -1.31% | $167.46 | 10 | no | yes | -5.27% | -2.84% | |
| Q3 | $0.30 | 0.83% | $179.93 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.18% | -3.83% | |
| Q2 | $0.30 | -0.13% | $142.49 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.05% | +3.90% | |
| Q1 | $0.30 | -1.97% | $146.89 | 6 | no | yes | -4.52% | +1.15% | |
| Q4 | $0.30 | -0.65% | $128.06 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.17% | -1.41% | |
| Q3 | $0.25 | 0.43% | $123.15 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.63% | +0.09% | |
| Q2 | $0.25 | -0.02% | $108.42 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.65% | +0.76% | |
| Q1 | $0.25 | -0.88% | $99.47 | 2 | yes | yes | -6.35% | +1.31% | |
| Q4 | $0.25 | 1.15% | $86.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.52% | +0.21% | |
| Q3 | $0.23 | 0.38% | $74.16 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.60% | +6.05% | |
| Q2 | $0.23 | -1.55% | $71.15 | 2 | yes | yes | -9.87% | -3.37% | |
| Q1 | $0.23 | -0.59% | $84.81 | 1 | yes | yes | -10.94% | -2.68% | |
| Q4 | $0.23 | 0.87% | $102.78 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.51% | +6.90% | |
| Q3 | $0.20 | -0.42% | $94.70 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.15% | +4.13% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 15 | 75% | |
| 2–3 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
Pre-filled with DHI's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical DHI ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
-0.06%
Win rate (20 trades)
90%
Cumulative P&L
-1.14%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+60.74%
Best event
+1.15%
Worst event
-3.82%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · DHI (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.21% | |
| +0.22% | |
| +0.27% | |
| +0.32% | |
| +0.30% | |
| +0.29% | |
| +0.25% | |
| +0.23% | |
| +0.20% | |
| +0.23% | |
| +1.15% | |
| +0.21% | |
| +0.17% | |
| -2.84% | |
| -3.82% | |
| +0.32% | |
| +0.26% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +0.28% | |
| +0.30% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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