Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what DHI is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$241.79
Method range
$64.46 – $241.79
median $118.48
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $241.79 | +66.06% |
| Exit multiple | $73.11 | -49.79% |
| Analyst target | $163.86 | +12.54% |
| Graham number | $64.46 | -55.73% |
- Forward DCF$241.79
- Exit multiple$73.11
- Analyst target$163.86
- Graham number$64.46
Stock price
$145.60
EPS (TTM)
$10.67
5Y EPS CAGR
12.5%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$241.79
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
5.3%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 39.8% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
12.5%
Your model implies
5.3%
Next-year analyst consensus
-0.9%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| 10.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% |
| 11.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% |
| 12.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% |
| 13.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
1.41
Fair vs growth
Net debt
$3.0B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.41
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
D.R. Horton (DHI) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation