Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what DHI is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$242.27
Method range
$72.85 – $242.27
median $121.88
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $242.27 | +69.99% |
| Exit multiple | $72.85 | -48.89% |
| Analyst target | $167.17 | +17.30% |
| Graham number | $76.60 | -46.25% |
- Forward DCF$242.27
- Exit multiple$72.85
- Analyst target$167.17
- Graham number$76.60
Stock price
$142.52
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.75
3Y FCF CAGR
95.2%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$6,526.06
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
30.5%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 97.8% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
95.2%
Your model implies
30.5%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 95% annual growth.
Cumulative FCF covers the current price by year 6.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.5% | 27.1% | 26.4% | 25.6% | 24.9% | 24.0% |
| 10.5% | 29.4% | 28.8% | 28.1% | 27.4% | 26.7% |
| 11.5% | 31.6% | 31.0% | 30.5% | 29.8% | 29.2% |
| 12.5% | 33.7% | 33.2% | 32.7% | 32.1% | 31.5% |
| 13.5% | 35.7% | 35.3% | 34.8% | 34.3% | 33.8% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.31
Low vs growth
Net debt
$3.05B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.36
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
D.R. Horton (DHI) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks6.28% TTM
- Dividend Profile1.23% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History10 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.