DOV dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 90% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Dover (DOV) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 90% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.17), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, DOV sits roughly in line with the Industrials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Aug 28, 2026 (±0 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
90%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.17
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 90% | -5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.17 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.05% | +0.28pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 50% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.55% | +0.47pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 4 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±0 days.
Dividend
$0.52
Per-event yield
0.24%
Annualized yield
0.98%
Previously paid
May 29, 2026 ($0.52)
Last record date
May 29, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 15, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Dover (DOV). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.52 | -0.24% | $212.51 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.76% | +1.30% | |
| Q1 | $0.52 | -1.12% | $227.14 | >30 | no | no | -11.16% | -8.01% | |
| Q4 | $0.52 | -0.18% | $186.19 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.61% | +2.91% | |
| Q3 | $0.52 | -0.38% | $181.59 | >30 | no | no | -4.80% | -1.69% | |
| Q2 | $0.52 | -0.70% | $179.68 | 4 | yes | yes | -3.34% | +0.16% | |
| Q1 | $0.52 | 0.13% | $196.51 | 1 | yes | yes | -10.54% | -5.27% | |
| Q4 | $0.52 | -0.14% | $206.51 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.78% | -2.20% | |
| Q3 | $0.52 | 0.06% | $183.01 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.30% | -1.97% | |
| Q2 | $0.51 | -0.08% | $181.63 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.06% | -2.15% | |
| Q1 | $0.51 | -0.47% | $164.09 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.47% | +4.47% | |
| Q4 | $0.51 | 0.62% | $140.09 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.11% | +2.59% | |
| Q3 | $0.51 | -0.06% | $146.59 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.35% | -2.97% | |
| Q2 | $0.51 | 0.14% | $137.03 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.07% | +1.82% | |
| Q1 | $0.51 | 0.59% | $148.40 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.13% | +4.33% | |
| Q4 | $0.51 | -0.61% | $139.33 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.93% | +0.68% | |
| Q3 | $0.51 | -0.17% | $127.43 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.39% | +2.02% | |
| Q2 | $0.50 | 0.71% | $133.06 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.79% | +0.47% | |
| Q1 | $0.50 | 0.02% | $155.36 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.22% | -2.52% | |
| Q4 | $0.50 | 0.69% | $171.24 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.92% | -0.44% | |
| Q3 | $0.50 | 0.11% | $174.59 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.00% | -0.76% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 17 | 85% | |
| 2–3 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 2 | 10% |
Pre-filled with DOV's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical DOV ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
-0.20%
Win rate (20 trades)
90%
Cumulative P&L
-4.05%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+26.90%
Best event
+0.40%
Worst event
-8.01%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · DOV (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.29% | |
| +0.29% | |
| +0.32% | |
| +0.38% | |
| +0.40% | |
| +0.36% | |
| +0.34% | |
| +0.37% | |
| +0.35% | |
| +0.36% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +0.28% | |
| +0.28% | |
| +0.25% | |
| +0.26% | |
| +0.29% | |
| -1.69% | |
| +0.28% | |
| -8.01% | |
| +0.24% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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