Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what DOV is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$191.60
Method range
$46.96 – $242.73
median $194.09
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $191.60 | -10.78% |
| Exit multiple | $196.59 | -8.46% |
| Analyst target | $242.73 | +13.02% |
| Graham number | $46.96 | -78.13% |
- Forward DCF$191.60
- Exit multiple$196.59
- Analyst target$242.73
- Graham number$46.96
Stock price
$214.76
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.97
3Y FCF CAGR
5.6%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$15.78
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
42.7%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -1261.1% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
5.6%
Your model implies
42.7%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 6% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.4% | 38.7% | 37.7% | 36.7% | 35.7% | 34.5% |
| 9.4% | 41.5% | 40.7% | 39.8% | 38.9% | 37.9% |
| 10.4% | 44.2% | 43.4% | 42.7% | 41.9% | 41.0% |
| 11.4% | 46.7% | 46.0% | 45.3% | 44.6% | 43.8% |
| 12.4% | 49.1% | 48.5% | 47.9% | 47.2% | 46.5% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$2.1B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.17
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Dover (DOV) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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