Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what DOV is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$190.08
Method range
$46.96 – $247.10
median $193.31
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $190.08 | -11.40% |
| Exit multiple | $196.54 | -8.39% |
| Analyst target | $247.10 | +15.18% |
| Graham number | $46.96 | -78.11% |
- Forward DCF$190.08
- Exit multiple$196.54
- Analyst target$247.10
- Graham number$46.96
Stock price
$214.53
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.97
3Y FCF CAGR
5.6%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$15.66
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
42.8%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -1,269.7% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
5.6%
Your model implies
42.8%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 6% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.5% | 38.8% | 37.9% | 36.9% | 35.8% | 34.7% |
| 9.5% | 41.6% | 40.8% | 40.0% | 39.0% | 38.1% |
| 10.5% | 44.3% | 43.6% | 42.8% | 42.0% | 41.1% |
| 11.5% | 46.8% | 46.1% | 45.5% | 44.7% | 44.0% |
| 12.5% | 49.2% | 48.6% | 48.0% | 47.3% | 46.7% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$2.1B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.16
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Dover (DOV) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks2.26% TTM
- Dividend Profile0.97% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History8 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.