Dow (DOW) seasonality heatmap
Returns across monthly, quarterly, and yearly periods. Cell color encodes signed magnitude; the scale auto-fits each table.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +17.8% | +12.9% | +35.5% | -2.8% | -16.6% | +0.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | -2.7% | -0.6% | -8.4% | -12.4% | -7.1% | -4.5% | -12.0% | +7.3% | -6.9% | +4.0% | +1.5% | -2.0% |
| 2024 | -2.3% | +5.6% | +3.7% | -1.8% | +2.5% | -7.9% | +2.7% | -0.3% | +2.0% | -9.6% | -9.1% | -9.2% |
| 2023 | +17.8% | -2.4% | -4.2% | -0.8% | -9.1% | +9.2% | +6.0% | -2.1% | -5.5% | -6.3% | +8.5% | +6.0% |
| 2022 | +5.3% | -0.1% | +8.1% | +4.4% | +3.3% | -24.1% | +3.1% | -2.9% | -13.9% | +6.4% | +10.6% | -1.1% |
| 2021 | -6.5% | +15.6% | +7.8% | -2.2% | +10.6% | -7.5% | -1.8% | +2.3% | -8.5% | -2.8% | -0.6% | +3.3% |
| 2020 | -15.8% | -10.9% | -27.6% | +25.5% | +7.0% | +5.6% | +0.7% | +11.6% | +4.3% | -3.3% | +18.0% | +4.7% |
| 2019 | — | — | — | +9.9% | -16.4% | +5.5% | -1.8% | -10.5% | +11.8% | +5.9% | +7.1% | +2.6% |
| Avg | +2.0% | +2.9% | +2.1% | +2.5% | -3.2% | -3.4% | -0.4% | +0.8% | -2.4% | -0.8% | +5.1% | +0.6% |
| Median | -2.3% | -0.1% | +3.7% | -1.3% | -2.3% | -4.5% | +0.7% | -0.3% | -5.5% | -2.8% | +7.1% | +2.6% |
| Last 5Y Avg | +7.2% | +3.1% | +6.9% | -2.7% | -5.4% | -7.0% | -0.4% | +0.8% | -6.6% | -1.6% | +2.2% | -0.6% |
| Std Dev (σ) | 12.5% | 9.2% | 19.2% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 5.2% |
| Consistency (μ/σ) | 0.16 | 0.31 | 0.11 | 0.22 | -0.31 | -0.30 | -0.08 | 0.11 | -0.27 | -0.13 | 0.59 | 0.11 |
| Win Rate (%) | 43% | 43% | 57% | 38% | 50% | 43% | 57% | 43% | 43% | 43% | 71% | 57% |
| Winning / Losing Months | ▲3▼4 | ▲3▼4 | ▲4▼3 | ▲3▼5 | ▲4▼4 | ▲3▼4 | ▲4▼3 | ▲3▼4 | ▲3▼4 | ▲3▼4 | ▲5▼2 | ▲4▼3 |
| Longest Win / Loss Streak | ▲2▼2 | ▲1▼2 | ▲2▼1 | ▲2▼4 | ▲3▼2 | ▲2▼2 | ▲3▼1 | ▲2▼3 | ▲2▼3 | ▲1▼2 | ▲2▼1 | ▲3▼2 |
| Best | +17.8%in January 2026 | +15.6%in February 2021 | +35.5%in March 2026 | +25.5%in April 2020 | +10.6%in May 2021 | +9.2%in June 2023 | +6.0%in July 2023 | +11.6%in August 2020 | +11.8%in September 2019 | +6.4%in October 2022 | +18.0%in November 2020 | +6.0%in December 2023 |
| Worst | -15.8%in January 2020 | -10.9%in February 2020 | -27.6%in March 2020 | -12.4%in April 2025 | -16.6%in May 2026 | -24.1%in June 2022 | -12.0%in July 2025 | -10.5%in August 2019 | -13.9%in September 2022 | -9.6%in October 2024 | -9.1%in November 2024 | -9.2%in December 2024 |
−27.6%+35.5%
2026
Jan+17.8%
Feb+12.9%
Mar+35.5%
Apr-2.8%
May-16.6%
Jun+0.3%
Jul—
Aug—
Sep—
Oct—
Nov—
Dec—
2025
Jan-2.7%
Feb-0.6%
Mar-8.4%
Apr-12.4%
May-7.1%
Jun-4.5%
Jul-12.0%
Aug+7.3%
Sep-6.9%
Oct+4.0%
Nov+1.5%
Dec-2.0%
2024
Jan-2.3%
Feb+5.6%
Mar+3.7%
Apr-1.8%
May+2.5%
Jun-7.9%
Jul+2.7%
Aug-0.3%
Sep+2.0%
Oct-9.6%
Nov-9.1%
Dec-9.2%
2023
Jan+17.8%
Feb-2.4%
Mar-4.2%
Apr-0.8%
May-9.1%
Jun+9.2%
Jul+6.0%
Aug-2.1%
Sep-5.5%
Oct-6.3%
Nov+8.5%
Dec+6.0%
2022
Jan+5.3%
Feb-0.1%
Mar+8.1%
Apr+4.4%
May+3.3%
Jun-24.1%
Jul+3.1%
Aug-2.9%
Sep-13.9%
Oct+6.4%
Nov+10.6%
Dec-1.1%
2021
Jan-6.5%
Feb+15.6%
Mar+7.8%
Apr-2.2%
May+10.6%
Jun-7.5%
Jul-1.8%
Aug+2.3%
Sep-8.5%
Oct-2.8%
Nov-0.6%
Dec+3.3%
2020
Jan-15.8%
Feb-10.9%
Mar-27.6%
Apr+25.5%
May+7.0%
Jun+5.6%
Jul+0.7%
Aug+11.6%
Sep+4.3%
Oct-3.3%
Nov+18.0%
Dec+4.7%
2019
Jan—
Feb—
Mar—
Apr+9.9%
May-16.4%
Jun+5.5%
Jul-1.8%
Aug-10.5%
Sep+11.8%
Oct+5.9%
Nov+7.1%
Dec+2.6%
Avg
Jan+2.0%
Feb+2.9%
Mar+2.1%
Apr+2.5%
May-3.2%
Jun-3.4%
Jul-0.4%
Aug+0.8%
Sep-2.4%
Oct-0.8%
Nov+5.1%
Dec+0.6%
Median
Jan-2.3%
Feb-0.1%
Mar+3.7%
Apr-1.3%
May-2.3%
Jun-4.5%
Jul+0.7%
Aug-0.3%
Sep-5.5%
Oct-2.8%
Nov+7.1%
Dec+2.6%
Last 5Y Avg
Jan+7.2%
Feb+3.1%
Mar+6.9%
Apr-2.7%
May-5.4%
Jun-7.0%
Jul-0.4%
Aug+0.8%
Sep-6.6%
Oct-1.6%
Nov+2.2%
Dec-0.6%
Std Dev (σ)
Jan12.5%
Feb9.2%
Mar19.2%
Apr11.3%
May10.5%
Jun11.4%
Jul5.8%
Aug7.2%
Sep8.8%
Oct6.3%
Nov8.7%
Dec5.2%
Consistency (μ/σ)
Jan0.16
Feb0.31
Mar0.11
Apr0.22
May-0.31
Jun-0.30
Jul-0.08
Aug0.11
Sep-0.27
Oct-0.13
Nov0.59
Dec0.11
Win Rate (%)
Jan43%
Feb43%
Mar57%
Apr38%
May50%
Jun43%
Jul57%
Aug43%
Sep43%
Oct43%
Nov71%
Dec57%
Winning / Losing Months
Jan▲3▼4
Feb▲3▼4
Mar▲4▼3
Apr▲3▼5
May▲4▼4
Jun▲3▼4
Jul▲4▼3
Aug▲3▼4
Sep▲3▼4
Oct▲3▼4
Nov▲5▼2
Dec▲4▼3
Longest Win / Loss Streak
Jan▲2▼2
Feb▲1▼2
Mar▲2▼1
Apr▲2▼4
May▲3▼2
Jun▲2▼2
Jul▲3▼1
Aug▲2▼3
Sep▲2▼3
Oct▲1▼2
Nov▲2▼1
Dec▲3▼2
Best
Jan+17.8%2026
Feb+15.6%2021
Mar+35.5%2026
Apr+25.5%2020
May+10.6%2021
Jun+9.2%2023
Jul+6.0%2023
Aug+11.6%2020
Sep+11.8%2019
Oct+6.4%2022
Nov+18.0%2020
Dec+6.0%2023
Worst
Jan-15.8%2020
Feb-10.9%2020
Mar-27.6%2020
Apr-12.4%2025
May-16.6%2026
Jun-24.1%2022
Jul-12.0%2025
Aug-10.5%2019
Sep-13.9%2022
Oct-9.6%2024
Nov-9.1%2024
Dec-9.2%2024
−27.6%+35.5%
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