Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what EFX is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$76.94
Method range
$34.88 – $371.12
median $152.27
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $76.94 | -55.30% |
| Exit multiple | $371.12 | +115.61% |
| Analyst target | $227.60 | +32.23% |
| Graham number | $34.88 | -79.73% |
- Forward DCF$76.94
- Exit multiple$371.12
- Analyst target$227.60
- Graham number$34.88
Stock price
$172.13
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.01
3Y FCF CAGR
6.9%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$16.05
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
41.0%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -972.5% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
6.9%
Your model implies
41.0%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 7% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.3% | 37.2% | 36.4% | 35.6% | 34.7% | 33.7% |
| 10.3% | 39.8% | 39.1% | 38.4% | 37.6% | 36.7% |
| 11.3% | 42.3% | 41.6% | 41.0% | 40.3% | 39.5% |
| 12.3% | 44.6% | 44.1% | 43.4% | 42.8% | 42.1% |
| 13.3% | 46.9% | 46.4% | 45.8% | 45.2% | 44.6% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$4.9B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.35
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Equifax (EFX) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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