EMR dividend capture — median 2d pre-ex touch, 100% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Emerson Electric (EMR) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 2 trading days (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.20), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, EMR sits roughly in line with the Industrials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, so this ticker touches more slowly than peers.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Aug 14, 2026 (±0 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
100%
Median days-to-touch
2d
Signal-to-noise
0.20
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 2d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.20 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.70% | -0.36pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 55% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.64% | +0.38pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 12 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±0 days.
Dividend
$0.56
Per-event yield
0.40%
Annualized yield
1.65%
Previously paid
May 15, 2026 ($0.56)
Last record date
May 15, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 10, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Emerson Electric (EMR). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.56 | -1.78% | $137.88 | 7 | no | yes | -7.07% | -0.66% | |
| Q1 | $0.56 | 0.50% | $144.98 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.81% | +0.75% | |
| Q4 | $0.56 | -1.32% | $128.46 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.95% | +0.25% | |
| Q3 | $0.53 | -0.33% | $134.37 | 6 | no | yes | -3.33% | -0.05% | |
| Q2 | $0.53 | -0.04% | $120.25 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.51% | -1.23% | |
| Q1 | $0.53 | -0.02% | $125.30 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.64% | -3.27% | |
| Q4 | $0.53 | -0.42% | $129.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.91% | +1.24% | |
| Q3 | $0.53 | -0.62% | $104.29 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.97% | +0.84% | |
| Q2 | $0.53 | -0.71% | $114.82 | 6 | no | yes | -4.11% | -1.57% | |
| Q1 | $0.53 | -0.16% | $106.24 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.24% | +0.18% | |
| Q4 | $0.53 | -0.71% | $88.37 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.36% | +0.75% | |
| Q3 | $0.52 | -0.60% | $96.04 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.98% | +0.22% | |
| Q2 | $0.52 | -1.71% | $82.48 | 2 | yes | yes | -4.44% | +0.41% | |
| Q1 | $0.52 | -1.78% | $86.92 | 12 | no | yes | -7.04% | -4.86% | |
| Q4 | $0.52 | -1.26% | $91.26 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.39% | +4.92% | |
| Q3 | $0.52 | 0.49% | $87.54 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.85% | +3.73% | |
| Q2 | $0.52 | -0.85% | $83.13 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.55% | +0.82% | |
| Q1 | $0.52 | -1.45% | $98.42 | 1 | yes | yes | -10.64% | -4.79% | |
| Q4 | $0.52 | -0.58% | $97.50 | 2 | yes | yes | -4.29% | -2.74% | |
| Q3 | $0.51 | -0.56% | $104.28 | 10 | no | yes | -4.32% | -2.44% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 10 | 50% | |
| 2–3 days | 5 | 25% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 4 | 20% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
Pre-filled with EMR's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical EMR ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
-0.10%
Win rate (20 trades)
75%
Cumulative P&L
-1.90%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+37.68%
Best event
+0.63%
Worst event
-4.86%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · EMR (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| -2.44% | |
| +0.53% | |
| +0.52% | |
| +0.62% | |
| +0.59% | |
| +0.57% | |
| -4.86% | |
| +0.63% | |
| +0.54% | |
| +0.59% | |
| +0.49% | |
| -1.57% | |
| +0.50% | |
| +0.41% | |
| +0.42% | |
| +0.44% | |
| -0.05% | |
| +0.43% | |
| +0.38% | |
| -0.66% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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