Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what EMR is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$61.83
Method range
$29.96 – $161.31
median $102.73
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $61.83 | -55.23% |
| Exit multiple | $143.64 | +3.99% |
| Analyst target | $161.31 | +16.79% |
| Graham number | $29.96 | -78.31% |
- Forward DCF$61.83
- Exit multiple$143.64
- Analyst target$161.31
- Graham number$29.96
Stock price
$138.12
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.24
3Y FCF CAGR
-1.4%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$11.69
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
33.4%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -1081.7% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-1.4%
Your model implies
33.4%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -1% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.8% | 29.8% | 29.0% | 28.2% | 27.2% | 26.2% |
| 9.8% | 32.3% | 31.6% | 30.9% | 30.1% | 29.2% |
| 10.8% | 34.7% | 34.1% | 33.4% | 32.7% | 32.0% |
| 11.8% | 37.0% | 36.4% | 35.8% | 35.2% | 34.5% |
| 12.8% | 39.2% | 38.7% | 38.1% | 37.6% | 37.0% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
16.05
Demanding vs growth
Net debt
$12.2B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.25
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Emerson Electric (EMR) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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