Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what EMR is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$60.99
Method range
$29.96 – $163.46
median $106.04
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $60.99 | -56.32% |
| Exit multiple | $151.09 | +8.21% |
| Analyst target | $163.46 | +17.07% |
| Graham number | $29.96 | -78.54% |
- Forward DCF$60.99
- Exit multiple$151.09
- Analyst target$163.46
- Graham number$29.96
Stock price
$139.63
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.24
3Y FCF CAGR
-1.4%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$11.55
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
33.9%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -1,109.1% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-1.4%
Your model implies
33.9%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -1% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.9% | 30.3% | 29.5% | 28.6% | 27.7% | 26.7% |
| 9.9% | 32.8% | 32.1% | 31.3% | 30.6% | 29.7% |
| 10.9% | 35.1% | 34.5% | 33.9% | 33.2% | 32.4% |
| 11.9% | 37.4% | 36.8% | 36.3% | 35.6% | 35.0% |
| 12.9% | 39.6% | 39.1% | 38.5% | 38.0% | 37.4% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
16.08
Demanding vs growth
Net debt
$12.2B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.24
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Emerson Electric (EMR) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks0.90% TTM
- Dividend Profile1.57% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History4 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.