Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what FANG is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$128.92
Method range
$38.44 – $219.83
median $143.14
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $128.92 | -36.50% |
| Exit multiple | $157.35 | -22.49% |
| Analyst target | $219.83 | +8.28% |
| Graham number | $38.44 | -81.07% |
- Forward DCF$128.92
- Exit multiple$157.35
- Analyst target$219.83
- Graham number$38.44
Stock price
$203.02
FCF / share (TTM)
$3.16
3Y FCF CAGR
17.8%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$263.45
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
14.5%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 22.9% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
17.8%
Your model implies
14.5%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 18% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 2.7% |
| 5.7% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 7.1% |
| 6.7% | 16.6% | 15.6% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 11.7% |
| 7.7% | 19.4% | 18.5% | 17.6% | 16.6% | 15.4% |
| 8.7% | 21.9% | 21.2% | 20.4% | 19.5% | 18.6% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$14.8B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.41
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Diamondback Energy (FANG) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.