FAST dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 95% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Fastenal (FAST) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.44), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, FAST sits roughly in line with the Industrials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Oct 27, 2026 (±4 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
95%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.44
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.44 | +0.27 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.57% | -0.23pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 58% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -2.64% | +1.39pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 6 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±4 days.
Dividend
$0.26
Per-event yield
0.55%
Annualized yield
2.00%
Previously paid
Jul 28, 2026 ($0.26)
Last record date
Jul 28, 2026
Last payment date
Aug 25, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Fastenal (FAST). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 | $0.26 | 0.63% | $47.64 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.71% | — | |
| Q2 | $0.24 | 0.46% | $45.28 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.10% | -1.57% | |
| Q1 | $0.24 | -0.30% | $43.62 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.02% | +9.06% | |
| Q4 | $0.22 | -0.99% | $42.54 | >30 | no | no | -4.91% | -2.40% | |
| Q3 | $0.22 | -0.15% | $46.80 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.12% | -2.44% | |
| Q2 | $0.44 | -0.63% | $41.05 | 6 | no | yes | -4.87% | +1.10% | |
| Q1 | $0.43 | -0.99% | $37.49 | 6 | no | yes | -3.89% | -0.37% | |
| Q4 | $0.39 | -0.13% | $37.81 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.40% | +4.50% | |
| Q3 | $0.39 | -0.26% | $34.53 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.99% | -1.42% | |
| Q2 | $0.39 | -0.95% | $33.76 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.69% | +2.13% | |
| Q1 | $0.39 | -0.81% | $34.56 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.74% | +1.62% | |
| Q4 | $0.38 | -0.79% | $30.49 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.34% | +6.00% | |
| Q4 | $0.35 | -0.83% | $28.79 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.01% | +3.54% | |
| Q3 | $0.35 | -0.85% | $29.31 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.54% | -0.07% | |
| Q2 | $0.35 | -1.38% | $26.76 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.28% | +2.35% | |
| Q1 | $0.35 | -0.99% | $25.28 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.03% | +5.58% | |
| Q4 | $0.31 | -0.08% | $23.60 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.78% | +3.05% | |
| Q3 | $0.31 | -0.95% | $24.15 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.57% | +7.04% | |
| Q2 | $0.31 | -1.16% | $28.48 | 3 | yes | yes | -8.11% | -2.67% | |
| Q1 | $0.31 | -0.18% | $28.34 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.24% | -4.30% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 11 | 55% | |
| 2–3 days | 6 | 30% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
Pre-filled with FAST's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical FAST ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.80%
Win rate (20 trades)
90%
Cumulative P&L
+15.99%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+93.12%
Best event
+1.38%
Worst event
-2.40%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · FAST (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +1.09% | |
| +1.09% | |
| +1.28% | |
| +1.31% | |
| +1.38% | |
| +1.31% | |
| +1.19% | |
| +1.22% | |
| +1.25% | |
| +1.13% | |
| +1.16% | |
| +1.13% | |
| +1.03% | |
| -0.37% | |
| +1.10% | |
| +0.47% | |
| -2.40% | |
| +0.55% | |
| +0.53% | |
| +0.55% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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