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Fair Value for F5 (FFIV)

See growth priced into F5 (FFIV): reverse DCF, implied rate vs history and analysts, FCF view. Free intrinsic value calculator for education.

FCF / share

Fair value (multi-method)

Four independent methods triangulate what FFIV is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.

Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)

$562.64

Margin of safety
+28.80% vs current price $400.61

Method range

$61.42 $562.64

median $405.67

Methods disagree

Valuation methods

Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.

  • Forward DCF$562.64
  • Exit multiple$405.68
  • Analyst target$405.67
  • Graham number$61.42

Stock price

$400.61

FCF / share (TTM)

$6.13

3Y FCF CAGR

11.8%

Fair value @ hist. growth

$169.74

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.

Implied FCF growth

23.5%

per year over your projection horizon

Premium vs DCF

Margin of safety -136.0% vs hist-growth DCF

Historical 3Y CAGR

11.8%

Your model implies

23.5%

Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.

Model inputs

Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.

Discount rate (cost of equity proxy)9.8%
Terminal growth2.50%
Projection years10 yr
FCF growth per year (supplemental projection)12%
3Y CAGR 12%

Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 12% annual growth.

Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions

Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.

Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.8%19.9%19.1%18.2%17.2%16.1%
8.8%22.4%21.7%20.9%20.1%19.2%
9.8%24.8%24.2%23.5%22.7%22.0%
10.8%27.0%26.4%25.8%25.2%24.5%
11.8%29.1%28.6%28.1%27.5%26.9%
Color≤ historical CAGRModerate premiumHigh premium (≥ 15pp above hist)Your inputs

Historical multiples

Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.

P/EToday27.0
5Y low22.8
Median27.0
5Y high36.4
P/SToday6.1· at high
5Y low3.2
Median4.6
5Y high6.1
EV/EBITDAToday20.2
5Y low14.4
Median16.9
5Y high24.9

Net cash

$852M

Total debt − cash

Beta

1.03

Vs market benchmark

Frequently asked questions

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