Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what FFIV is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$566.47
Method range
$61.42 – $566.47
median $378.84
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $566.47 | +44.01% |
| Exit multiple | $405.93 | +3.20% |
| Analyst target | $351.75 | -10.58% |
| Graham number | $61.42 | -84.38% |
- Forward DCF$566.47
- Exit multiple$405.93
- Analyst target$351.75
- Graham number$61.42
Stock price
$393.35
FCF / share (TTM)
$6.13
3Y FCF CAGR
11.8%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$170.81
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
23.1%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -130.3% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
11.8%
Your model implies
23.1%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 12% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.8% | 19.6% | 18.7% | 17.8% | 16.8% | 15.7% |
| 8.8% | 22.1% | 21.4% | 20.6% | 19.7% | 18.8% |
| 9.8% | 24.4% | 23.8% | 23.1% | 22.4% | 21.6% |
| 10.8% | 26.6% | 26.1% | 25.5% | 24.8% | 24.2% |
| 11.8% | 28.8% | 28.2% | 27.7% | 27.1% | 26.5% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net cash
$852M
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.05
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
F5 (FFIV) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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