GIS dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 90% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
General Mills (GIS) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 90% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.46), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, GIS sits roughly in line with the Consumer Defensive sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Oct 9, 2026 (±1 day), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
90%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.46
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 90% | -5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.46 | +0.08 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.98% | -0.33pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 50% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.37% | +0.62pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 10 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±1 day.
Dividend
$0.61
Per-event yield
1.70%
Annualized yield
6.74%
Previously paid
Jul 10, 2026 ($0.61)
Last record date
Jul 10, 2026
Last payment date
Aug 3, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for General Mills (GIS). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 | $0.61 | -1.51% | $35.85 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.65% | +7.62% | |
| Q2 | $0.61 | -1.77% | $36.75 | >30 | no | no | -7.37% | -1.74% | |
| Q1 | $0.61 | -1.18% | $43.92 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.32% | +2.73% | |
| Q4 | $0.61 | -0.83% | $49.21 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.52% | -0.43% | |
| Q3 | $0.61 | -1.89% | $51.20 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.22% | -0.59% | |
| Q2 | $0.60 | -1.05% | $58.06 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.19% | +0.09% | |
| Q1 | $0.60 | -1.26% | $60.97 | 7 | no | yes | -4.97% | -1.21% | |
| Q4 | $0.60 | -0.42% | $72.07 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.16% | -1.10% | |
| Q3 | $0.60 | -0.64% | $62.69 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.75% | +5.18% | |
| Q2 | $0.59 | -0.83% | $70.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.56% | -2.24% | |
| Q1 | $0.59 | -0.93% | $64.64 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.48% | -1.49% | |
| Q4 | $0.59 | -1.48% | $62.36 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.26% | +2.04% | |
| Q3 | $0.59 | -1.20% | $76.43 | 10 | no | yes | -3.14% | -1.09% | |
| Q2 | $0.54 | -0.37% | $87.06 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.65% | +0.05% | |
| Q1 | $0.54 | -0.84% | $85.96 | >30 | no | no | -10.81% | -4.14% | |
| Q4 | $0.54 | -0.90% | $77.69 | 4 | yes | yes | -4.21% | +2.15% | |
| Q3 | $0.54 | -0.67% | $76.22 | 2 | yes | yes | -4.16% | -1.29% | |
| Q2 | $0.51 | -0.52% | $69.73 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.05% | +2.44% | |
| Q1 | $0.51 | -0.58% | $68.49 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.59% | +2.80% | |
| Q4 | $0.51 | -0.69% | $62.13 | 4 | yes | yes | -1.69% | +1.19% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 13 | 65% | |
| 2–3 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 4–5 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 6–10 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 2 | 10% |
Pre-filled with GIS's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical GIS ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.36%
Win rate (20 trades)
80%
Cumulative P&L
+7.18%
Buy & hold (same sample)
-23.19%
Best event
+1.70%
Worst event
-4.14%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · GIS (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.82% | |
| +0.74% | |
| +0.73% | |
| +0.71% | |
| +0.70% | |
| -4.14% | |
| +0.62% | |
| -1.09% | |
| +0.95% | |
| +0.91% | |
| +0.84% | |
| +0.96% | |
| +0.83% | |
| -1.21% | |
| +1.03% | |
| +1.19% | |
| +1.24% | |
| +1.39% | |
| -1.74% | |
| +1.70% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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