Ticker League

Fair Value for General Motors (GM)

See growth priced into General Motors (GM): reverse DCF, implied rate vs history and analysts, FCF view. Free intrinsic value calculator for education.

Fair value (multi-method)

Four independent methods triangulate what GM is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.

Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)

$13.60

Above fair value
-503.83% vs current price $82.13

Method range

$13.60 $98.70

median $71.80

Methods disagree

Valuation methods

Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.

  • Forward DCF$13.60
  • Exit multiple$97.75
  • Analyst target$98.70
  • Graham number$45.85

Stock price

$82.13

FCF / share (TTM)

$4.80

3Y FCF CAGR

Fair value @ hist. growth

$83.07

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.

Implied FCF growth

7.8%

per year over your projection horizon

Near DCF fair value

Margin of safety 1.1% vs hist-growth DCF

Model inputs

Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.

Discount rate (cost of equity proxy)11.2%
Terminal growth2.50%
Projection years10 yr
FCF growth per year (supplemental projection)8%

Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 8% annual growth.

Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions

Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.

Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
9.2%5.1%4.6%4.0%3.4%2.8%
10.2%6.9%6.5%6.0%5.5%4.9%
11.2%8.7%8.3%7.8%7.4%6.9%
12.2%10.3%10.0%9.6%9.2%8.7%
13.2%11.9%11.6%11.2%10.9%10.5%
Color≤ historical CAGRModerate premiumHigh premium (≥ 15pp above hist)Your inputs

Historical multiples

Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.

P/EToday24.4· at high
5Y low4.9
Median8.3
5Y high24.4
P/SToday0.4
5Y low0.3
Median0.3
5Y high0.7
EV/EBITDAToday10.0· at high
5Y low6.1
Median6.8
5Y high10.0

Net debt

$109B

Total debt − cash

Beta

1.31

Vs market benchmark

Frequently asked questions