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Fair Value for General Motors (GM)

See growth priced into General Motors (GM): reverse DCF, implied rate vs history and analysts, FCF view. Free intrinsic value calculator for education.

Fair value (multi-method)

Four independent methods triangulate what GM is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.

Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)

$17.45

Above fair value
-370.67% vs current price $82.11

Method range

$17.45 $97.83

median $80.05

Methods disagree

Valuation methods

Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.

  • Forward DCF$17.45
  • Exit multiple$97.83
  • Analyst target$93.92
  • Graham number$66.19

Stock price

$82.11

FCF / share (TTM)

$1.56

3Y FCF CAGR

Fair value @ hist. growth

$27.65

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.

Implied FCF growth

23.2%

per year over your projection horizon

Premium vs DCF

Margin of safety -196.9% vs hist-growth DCF

Model inputs

Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.

Discount rate (cost of equity proxy)11.1%
Terminal growth2.50%
Projection years10 yr
FCF growth per year (supplemental projection)8%

Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 8% annual growth.

Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions

Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.

Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
9.0%20.0%19.3%18.6%17.8%16.9%
10.1%22.2%21.6%21.0%20.3%19.6%
11.1%24.3%23.8%23.2%22.6%22.0%
12.0%26.3%25.9%25.4%24.8%24.3%
13.1%28.3%27.8%27.4%26.9%26.4%
Color≤ historical CAGRModerate premiumHigh premium (≥ 15pp above hist)Your inputs

Historical multiples

Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.

P/EToday27.7· at high
5Y low4.8
Median8.5
5Y high27.7
P/SToday0.4
5Y low0.3
Median0.3
5Y high0.7
EV/EBITDAToday10.5· at high
5Y low6.7
Median7.2
5Y high10.5

Net debt

$109.3B

Total debt − cash

Beta

1.30

Vs market benchmark

Frequently asked questions