Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what GWW is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$2,256.25
Method range
$148.11 – $2,256.25
median $1,162.98
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $2,256.25 | +73.56% |
| Exit multiple | $1,071.72 | -17.56% |
| Analyst target | $1,254.25 | -3.52% |
| Graham number | $148.11 | -88.61% |
- Forward DCF$2,256.25
- Exit multiple$1,071.72
- Analyst target$1,254.25
- Graham number$148.11
Stock price
$1300.01
FCF / share (TTM)
$12.03
3Y FCF CAGR
20.7%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$649.69
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
30.4%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -100.1% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
20.7%
Your model implies
30.4%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 21% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.8% | 26.6% | 25.7% | 24.7% | 23.6% | 22.4% |
| 8.8% | 29.3% | 28.5% | 27.7% | 26.7% | 25.7% |
| 9.8% | 31.8% | 31.1% | 30.4% | 29.6% | 28.7% |
| 10.8% | 34.2% | 33.6% | 32.9% | 32.2% | 31.5% |
| 11.8% | 36.5% | 35.9% | 35.3% | 34.7% | 34.0% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.96
Low vs growth
Net debt
$2.6B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.04
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
W.W. Grainger (GWW) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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