Halliburton (HAL) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 19 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.15), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, HAL sits roughly in line with the Energy sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Sep 2, 2026 (±0 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 95%in line with sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.15-0.17 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 19 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.15 | -0.17 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.35% | +0.47pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 70% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -5.50% | -0.31pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 9 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±0 days.
| Dividend | $0.17 |
| Per-event yield | 0.48% |
| Annualized yield | 1.66% |
| Previously paid | Mar 4, 2026 ($0.17) |
| Last record date | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Mar 25, 2026 |
HAL Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Halliburton (HAL). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.17 | -0.48% | $35.26 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.02% | +2.38% | |
| Q4 | $0.17 | 0.00% | $26.91 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.45% | +8.55% | |
| Q3 | $0.17 | -1.72% | $22.69 | 7 | no | yes | -5.69% | +0.35% | |
| Q2 | $0.17 | -0.88% | $20.43 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.89% | +9.45% | |
| Q1 | $0.17 | -1.82% | $24.15 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.02% | +3.02% | |
| Q4 | $0.17 | -0.44% | $31.72 | >30 | no | no | -14.75% | -7.41% | |
| Q3 | $0.17 | 0.17% | $29.85 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.77% | -5.73% | |
| Q2 | $0.17 | -0.18% | $33.87 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.75% | +2.54% | |
| Q1 | $0.17 | -0.54% | $35.18 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.88% | +4.95% | |
| Q4 | $0.16 | -1.21% | $36.33 | 9 | no | yes | -6.99% | -4.07% | |
| Q3 | $0.16 | 0.38% | $39.81 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.18% | +6.81% | |
| Q2 | $0.16 | -2.60% | $31.16 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.60% | +5.46% | |
| Q1 | $0.16 | 0.67% | $37.18 | 1 | yes | yes | -12.16% | +2.23% | |
| Q4 | $0.12 | 0.14% | $36.20 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.92% | +1.30% | |
| Q3 | $0.12 | 0.70% | $30.01 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.50% | -2.47% | |
| Q2 | $0.12 | 0.80% | $41.36 | 1 | yes | yes | -11.12% | +3.12% | |
| Q1 | $0.12 | 1.34% | $33.53 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.52% | +9.99% | |
| Q4 | $0.04 | -0.09% | $23.40 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.96% | -4.64% | |
| Q3 | $0.04 | -0.79% | $20.16 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.31% | -3.79% | |
| Q2 | $0.04 | 2.45% | $22.45 | 1 | yes | yes | 2.27% | +8.93% |
- +2.38%
- +8.55%
- +0.35%
- +9.45%
- +3.02%
- -7.41%
- -5.73%
- +2.54%
- +4.95%
- -4.07%
- +6.81%
- +5.46%
- +2.23%
- +1.30%
- -2.47%
- +3.12%
- +9.99%
- -4.64%
- -3.79%
- +8.93%
HAL Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 17 | 85% | |
| 2–3 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
HAL Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with HAL's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $34.00
- After-tax dividend
- $22.10
- Slippage round-trip
- -$7.05
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$15.05
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.21%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~10.8%
HAL Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical HAL ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · HAL (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.20% | |
| +0.22% | |
| +0.19% | |
| +0.36% | |
| +0.29% | |
| +0.40% | |
| +0.33% | |
| +0.43% | |
| +0.51% | |
| +0.40% | |
| -4.07% | |
| +0.48% | |
| +0.50% | |
| +0.57% | |
| -7.41% | |
| +0.70% | |
| +0.83% | |
| +0.35% | |
| +0.63% | |
| +0.48% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.