Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what HAL is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$22.84
Method range
$12.66 – $39.64
median $26.67
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $22.84 | -41.69% |
| Exit multiple | $30.49 | -22.19% |
| Analyst target | $39.64 | +1.17% |
| Graham number | $12.66 | -67.69% |
- Forward DCF$22.84
- Exit multiple$30.49
- Analyst target$39.64
- Graham number$12.66
Stock price
$39.18
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.10
3Y FCF CAGR
12.4%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$3.71
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
45.2%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -957.3% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
12.4%
Your model implies
45.2%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 12% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | 40.3% | 38.8% | 37.2% | 35.4% | 33.3% |
| 7.3% | 44.0% | 42.8% | 41.5% | 40.0% | 38.4% |
| 8.3% | 47.3% | 46.3% | 45.2% | 44.0% | 42.7% |
| 9.3% | 50.4% | 49.5% | 48.5% | 47.5% | 46.4% |
| 10.3% | 53.3% | 52.5% | 51.6% | 50.7% | 49.8% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$5.9B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.74
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Halliburton (HAL) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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