HPE dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 95% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.21), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, HPE sits roughly in line with the Technology sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Sep 16, 2026 (±3 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
95%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.21
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.21 | +0.05 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.65% | -0.27pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 50% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.69% | +1.35pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 15 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±3 days.
Dividend
$0.14
Per-event yield
0.29%
Annualized yield
1.15%
Previously paid
Jun 16, 2026 ($0.14)
Last record date
Jun 16, 2026
Last payment date
Jul 15, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.14 | 0.24% | $49.02 | 1 | yes | yes | -13.44% | -0.26% | |
| Q1 | $0.14 | -0.63% | $22.32 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.34% | +7.31% | |
| Q4 | $0.14 | -0.04% | $23.92 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.79% | +2.23% | |
| Q3 | $0.13 | 1.09% | $24.73 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.72% | -1.58% | |
| Q2 | $0.13 | -0.17% | $17.90 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.29% | +3.35% | |
| Q1 | $0.13 | -1.79% | $16.23 | 2 | yes | yes | -16.20% | -1.91% | |
| Q4 | $0.13 | -1.34% | $20.89 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.39% | +3.06% | |
| Q3 | $0.13 | 2.02% | $18.30 | 1 | yes | yes | 1.09% | +11.91% | |
| Q2 | $0.13 | 1.06% | $21.66 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.14% | -2.82% | |
| Q1 | $0.13 | -1.12% | $17.90 | 12 | no | yes | -7.82% | -3.13% | |
| Q4 | $0.13 | -3.66% | $16.66 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.66% | +1.80% | |
| Q3 | $0.12 | -0.35% | $17.08 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.05% | +0.82% | |
| Q2 | $0.12 | -0.84% | $16.64 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.40% | +1.56% | |
| Q1 | $0.12 | -1.51% | $13.91 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.80% | +3.45% | |
| Q4 | $0.12 | -0.12% | $16.36 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.99% | -3.55% | |
| Q3 | $0.12 | -0.30% | $13.36 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.63% | -1.35% | |
| Q2 | $0.12 | -2.04% | $14.68 | >30 | no | no | -10.22% | -7.77% | |
| Q1 | $0.12 | -1.83% | $16.37 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.38% | +2.87% | |
| Q4 | $0.12 | -1.03% | $15.58 | 2 | yes | yes | -6.93% | -3.27% | |
| Q3 | $0.12 | -0.75% | $14.66 | 15 | no | yes | -11.39% | -6.75% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 14 | 70% | |
| 2–3 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
Pre-filled with HPE's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical HPE ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
-0.30%
Win rate (20 trades)
85%
Cumulative P&L
-5.93%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+247.39%
Best event
+0.90%
Worst event
-7.77%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · HPE (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| -6.75% | |
| +0.77% | |
| +0.73% | |
| -7.77% | |
| +0.90% | |
| +0.73% | |
| +0.86% | |
| +0.72% | |
| +0.70% | |
| +0.78% | |
| -3.13% | |
| +0.60% | |
| +0.71% | |
| +0.62% | |
| +0.80% | |
| +0.73% | |
| +0.53% | |
| +0.60% | |
| +0.64% | |
| +0.29% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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