Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what HPE is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$39.85
Method range
$14.12 – $69.27
median $34.81
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $39.85 | -19.01% |
| Exit multiple | $29.76 | -39.50% |
| Analyst target | $69.27 | +40.79% |
| Graham number | $14.12 | -71.31% |
- Forward DCF$39.85
- Exit multiple$29.76
- Analyst target$69.27
- Graham number$14.12
Stock price
$49.20
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.62
3Y FCF CAGR
-34.2%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$0.91
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
30.8%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -5280.8% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-34.2%
Your model implies
30.8%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -34% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.8% | 27.5% | 26.8% | 26.1% | 25.4% | 24.5% |
| 10.8% | 29.8% | 29.2% | 28.5% | 27.9% | 27.2% |
| 11.8% | 31.9% | 31.4% | 30.8% | 30.2% | 29.6% |
| 12.8% | 34.0% | 33.5% | 33.0% | 32.5% | 31.9% |
| 13.8% | 36.0% | 35.6% | 35.1% | 34.6% | 34.1% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.38
Low vs growth
Net debt
$18.3B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.45
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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