Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what HPE is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$39.46
Method range
$14.12 – $69.27
median $34.98
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $39.46 | -18.01% |
| Exit multiple | $30.50 | -36.63% |
| Analyst target | $69.27 | +43.92% |
| Graham number | $14.12 | -70.67% |
- Forward DCF$39.46
- Exit multiple$30.50
- Analyst target$69.27
- Graham number$14.12
Stock price
$48.13
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.62
3Y FCF CAGR
-34.2%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$0.91
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
30.7%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -5,174.0% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-34.2%
Your model implies
30.7%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -34% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.9% | 27.3% | 26.7% | 26.0% | 25.2% | 24.4% |
| 10.9% | 29.6% | 29.0% | 28.4% | 27.7% | 27.0% |
| 11.9% | 31.7% | 31.2% | 30.7% | 30.1% | 29.5% |
| 12.9% | 33.8% | 33.3% | 32.8% | 32.3% | 31.7% |
| 13.9% | 35.8% | 35.4% | 34.9% | 34.4% | 33.9% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.39
Low vs growth
Net debt
$18.3B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.44
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks1.07% TTM
- Dividend Profile1.16% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History2 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.