Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what HPQ is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$46.48
Method range
$19.83 – $46.48
median $24.95
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $46.48 | +81.70% |
| Exit multiple | $24.95 | -2.46% |
| Analyst target | $19.83 | -22.48% |
| Graham number | — | — |
- Forward DCF$46.48
- Exit multiple$24.95
- Analyst target$19.83
- Graham number—
Stock price
$25.58
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.82
3Y FCF CAGR
-11.4%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$4.25
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
13.9%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -502.3% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-11.4%
Your model implies
13.9%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -11% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.1% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% |
| 9.1% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 10.3% |
| 10.1% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 12.7% |
| 11.1% | 17.0% | 16.5% | 16.0% | 15.5% | 14.9% |
| 12.1% | 18.8% | 18.4% | 18.0% | 17.5% | 17.0% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$7.2B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.11
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
HP (HPQ) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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