HWM dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 100% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Howmet Aerospace (HWM) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.03), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, HWM sits roughly in line with the Industrials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Aug 7, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.14.
Touch rate (30d)
100%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.03
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.03 | -0.14 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | 0.14% | +0.47pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 75% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -2.12% | +1.90pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 20 | — |
Confirmed by company declaration.
Dividend
$0.14
Per-event yield
0.05%
Annualized yield
0.17%
Previously paid
May 8, 2026 ($0.12)
Last record date
May 8, 2026
Last payment date
May 26, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Howmet Aerospace (HWM). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.12 | 0.32% | $272.54 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.96% | -4.43% | |
| Q1 | $0.12 | 2.07% | $209.63 | 1 | yes | yes | 2.07% | +19.42% | |
| Q4 | $0.12 | -0.50% | $205.72 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.41% | -1.12% | |
| Q3 | $0.12 | 0.66% | $181.58 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.68% | -5.62% | |
| Q2 | $0.10 | 0.25% | $157.50 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.77% | +3.43% | |
| Q1 | $0.10 | 0.20% | $129.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.87% | +3.50% | |
| Q4 | $0.08 | 0.70% | $111.22 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.19% | +0.78% | |
| Q3 | $0.08 | 0.21% | $91.96 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.84% | +4.28% | |
| Q2 | $0.05 | 0.17% | $81.42 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.81% | +1.42% | |
| Q1 | $0.05 | 0.10% | $59.09 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.27% | +7.16% | |
| Q4 | $0.05 | 0.48% | $48.34 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.10% | +6.70% | |
| Q3 | $0.04 | -0.21% | $48.05 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.06% | +3.81% | |
| Q2 | $0.04 | -0.22% | $44.70 | 4 | yes | yes | -3.94% | -1.57% | |
| Q1 | $0.04 | 0.56% | $40.84 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.82% | +5.26% | |
| Q4 | $0.04 | -1.10% | $35.34 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.81% | +8.49% | |
| Q3 | $0.02 | -1.26% | $37.23 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.55% | +2.74% | |
| Q2 | $0.02 | -0.82% | $36.56 | 20 | no | yes | -12.64% | -10.09% | |
| Q1 | $0.02 | 1.47% | $32.61 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.97% | +6.04% | |
| Q4 | $0.02 | -0.89% | $30.43 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.43% | +5.23% | |
| Q3 | $0.02 | 0.59% | $30.70 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.49% | +6.51% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 18 | 90% | |
| 2–3 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
Pre-filled with HWM's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical HWM ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
-0.43%
Win rate (20 trades)
95%
Cumulative P&L
-8.69%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+785.37%
Best event
+0.11%
Worst event
-10.09%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · HWM (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.07% | |
| +0.07% | |
| +0.06% | |
| -10.09% | |
| +0.05% | |
| +0.11% | |
| +0.10% | |
| +0.09% | |
| +0.08% | |
| +0.10% | |
| +0.08% | |
| +0.06% | |
| +0.09% | |
| +0.07% | |
| +0.08% | |
| +0.06% | |
| +0.07% | |
| +0.06% | |
| +0.06% | |
| +0.04% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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