Intuit (INTU) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 90% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.07), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, INTU sits roughly in line with the Technology sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Jul 9, 2026, with an expected dividend of $1.20.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 90%-5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.07-0.09 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 90% | -5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.07 | -0.09 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.65% | -0.32pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 35% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.90% | +0.71pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 9 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Confirmed by company declaration.
| Dividend | $1.20 |
| Per-event yield | 0.31% |
| Annualized yield | 1.80% |
| Previously paid | Apr 9, 2026 ($1.20) |
| Last record date | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Apr 17, 2026 |
INTU Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Intuit (INTU). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $1.20 | -2.39% | $389.51 | 5 | yes | yes | -12.17% | -0.31% | |
| Q1 | $1.20 | -0.35% | $652.75 | >30 | no | no | -20.23% | -16.28% | |
| Q4 | $1.20 | -0.43% | $657.80 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.52% | -1.46% | |
| Q3 | $1.04 | -0.15% | $769.59 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.53% | -1.71% | |
| Q2 | $1.04 | -2.25% | $596.48 | 3 | yes | yes | -6.34% | -1.69% | |
| Q1 | $1.04 | -1.15% | $626.05 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.89% | -3.34% | |
| Q4 | $1.04 | -0.58% | $621.61 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.53% | -1.82% | |
| Q3 | $0.90 | -2.11% | $650.42 | 4 | yes | yes | -4.27% | +1.44% | |
| Q2 | $0.90 | 0.73% | $645.28 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.33% | -5.10% | |
| Q1 | $0.90 | -1.21% | $598.38 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.38% | +0.39% | |
| Q4 | $0.90 | -0.28% | $517.46 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.33% | +5.19% | |
| Q3 | $0.78 | -0.17% | $451.50 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.99% | +7.37% | |
| Q2 | $0.78 | -1.21% | $439.15 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.55% | +0.74% | |
| Q1 | $0.78 | 1.18% | $386.52 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.15% | +1.15% | |
| Q4 | $0.78 | -0.29% | $413.58 | 1 | yes | yes | -10.29% | -4.12% | |
| Q3 | $0.68 | -2.05% | $410.84 | 9 | no | yes | -9.75% | -4.19% | |
| Q2 | $0.68 | -0.34% | $495.01 | >30 | no | no | -10.55% | -5.11% | |
| Q1 | $0.68 | 0.01% | $586.39 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.99% | -5.96% | |
| Q4 | $0.68 | 0.67% | $534.61 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.96% | +1.84% | |
| Q3 | $0.59 | -0.62% | $506.09 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.05% | -0.79% |
- -0.31%
- -16.28%
- -1.46%
- -1.71%
- -1.69%
- -3.34%
- -1.82%
- +1.44%
- -5.10%
- +0.39%
- +5.19%
- +7.37%
- +0.74%
- +1.15%
- -4.12%
- -4.19%
- -5.11%
- -5.96%
- +1.84%
- -0.79%
INTU Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 12 | 60% | |
| 2–3 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 4–5 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 2 | 10% |
INTU Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with INTU's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $240.00
- After-tax dividend
- $156.00
- Slippage round-trip
- -$77.90
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$78.10
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.10%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~5.1%
INTU Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical INTU ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · INTU (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.12% | |
| +0.13% | |
| +0.12% | |
| -5.11% | |
| -4.19% | |
| +0.19% | |
| +0.20% | |
| +0.18% | |
| +0.17% | |
| +0.17% | |
| +0.15% | |
| +0.14% | |
| +0.14% | |
| +0.17% | |
| +0.17% | |
| +0.17% | |
| +0.14% | |
| +0.18% | |
| -16.28% | |
| +0.31% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.