INTU dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 90% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Intuit (INTU) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 90% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.07), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, INTU sits roughly in line with the Technology sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Oct 8, 2026 (±1 day), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
90%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.07
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 90% | -5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.07 | -0.09 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.83% | -0.44pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 40% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -4.47% | +0.56pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 9 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±1 day.
Dividend
$1.20
Per-event yield
0.44%
Annualized yield
1.76%
Previously paid
Jul 9, 2026 ($1.20)
Last record date
Jul 9, 2026
Last payment date
Jul 17, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Intuit (INTU). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 | $1.20 | -4.22% | $272.10 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.68% | +8.78% | |
| Q2 | $1.20 | -2.39% | $389.51 | 5 | yes | yes | -12.17% | -0.31% | |
| Q1 | $1.20 | -0.35% | $652.75 | >30 | no | no | -20.23% | -16.28% | |
| Q4 | $1.20 | -0.43% | $657.80 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.52% | -1.46% | |
| Q3 | $1.04 | -0.15% | $769.59 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.53% | -1.71% | |
| Q2 | $1.04 | -2.25% | $596.48 | 3 | yes | yes | -6.34% | -1.69% | |
| Q1 | $1.04 | -1.15% | $626.05 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.89% | -3.34% | |
| Q4 | $1.04 | -0.58% | $621.61 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.53% | -1.82% | |
| Q3 | $0.90 | -2.11% | $650.42 | 4 | yes | yes | -4.27% | +1.44% | |
| Q2 | $0.90 | 0.73% | $645.28 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.33% | -5.10% | |
| Q1 | $0.90 | -1.21% | $598.38 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.38% | +0.39% | |
| Q4 | $0.90 | -0.28% | $517.46 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.33% | +5.19% | |
| Q3 | $0.78 | -0.17% | $451.50 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.99% | +7.37% | |
| Q2 | $0.78 | -1.21% | $439.15 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.55% | +0.74% | |
| Q1 | $0.78 | 1.18% | $386.52 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.15% | +1.15% | |
| Q4 | $0.78 | -0.29% | $413.58 | 1 | yes | yes | -10.29% | -4.12% | |
| Q3 | $0.68 | -2.05% | $410.84 | 9 | no | yes | -9.75% | -4.19% | |
| Q2 | $0.68 | -0.34% | $495.01 | >30 | no | no | -10.55% | -5.11% | |
| Q1 | $0.68 | 0.01% | $586.39 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.99% | -5.96% | |
| Q4 | $0.68 | 0.67% | $534.61 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.96% | +1.84% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 13 | 65% | |
| 2–3 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 4–5 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 2 | 10% |
Pre-filled with INTU's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical INTU ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
-1.12%
Win rate (20 trades)
85%
Cumulative P&L
-22.41%
Buy & hold (same sample)
-45.42%
Best event
+0.44%
Worst event
-16.28%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · INTU (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.13% | |
| +0.12% | |
| -5.11% | |
| -4.19% | |
| +0.19% | |
| +0.20% | |
| +0.18% | |
| +0.17% | |
| +0.17% | |
| +0.15% | |
| +0.14% | |
| +0.14% | |
| +0.17% | |
| +0.17% | |
| +0.17% | |
| +0.14% | |
| +0.18% | |
| -16.28% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +0.44% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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