Invitation Homes (INVH) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.38), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, INVH sits roughly in line with the Real Estate sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Jun 25, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.30.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 95%in line with sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.38-0.06 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.38 | -0.06 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.60% | +0.27pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 40% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -4.12% | +0.59pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 14 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Confirmed by company declaration.
| Dividend | $0.30 |
| Per-event yield | 1.21% |
| Annualized yield | 4.19% |
| Previously paid | Mar 26, 2026 ($0.30) |
| Last record date | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Apr 17, 2026 |
INVH Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Invitation Homes (INVH). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.30 | -0.84% | $24.89 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.21% | +3.86% | |
| Q4 | $0.30 | -0.95% | $27.34 | 2 | yes | yes | -7.50% | +2.74% | |
| Q3 | $0.29 | -0.45% | $29.21 | 2 | yes | yes | -4.28% | -0.75% | |
| Q2 | $0.29 | -0.36% | $32.96 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.88% | -0.15% | |
| Q1 | $0.29 | -0.76% | $34.37 | 1 | yes | yes | -14.55% | -0.26% | |
| Q4 | $0.29 | -1.38% | $32.62 | >30 | no | no | -7.63% | -1.23% | |
| Q3 | $0.28 | -0.87% | $35.58 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.11% | -3.23% | |
| Q2 | $0.28 | -0.66% | $35.11 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.88% | +3.45% | |
| Q1 | $0.28 | 0.00% | $34.27 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.38% | +1.20% | |
| Q4 | $0.28 | -0.76% | $34.23 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.02% | +0.35% | |
| Q4 | $0.26 | -1.03% | $31.97 | 7 | no | yes | -2.78% | -0.63% | |
| Q3 | $0.26 | -0.46% | $34.76 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.40% | -0.12% | |
| Q2 | $0.26 | -0.99% | $34.38 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.96% | -2.65% | |
| Q1 | $0.26 | -0.34% | $32.67 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.47% | -0.49% | |
| Q4 | $0.22 | 0.10% | $31.03 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.74% | +1.58% | |
| Q3 | $0.22 | 0.26% | $37.88 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.61% | +5.60% | |
| Q2 | $0.22 | -1.50% | $37.99 | 14 | no | yes | -7.21% | -3.45% | |
| Q1 | $0.22 | -0.14% | $42.22 | 1 | yes | yes | -14.38% | -8.01% | |
| Q4 | $0.17 | -0.39% | $40.82 | 6 | no | yes | -2.77% | +0.59% | |
| Q3 | $0.17 | -0.47% | $40.12 | 7 | no | yes | -3.09% | -0.77% |
- +3.86%
- +2.74%
- -0.75%
- -0.15%
- -0.26%
- -1.23%
- -3.23%
- +3.45%
- +1.20%
- +0.35%
- -0.63%
- -0.12%
- -2.65%
- -0.49%
- +1.58%
- +5.60%
- -3.45%
- -8.01%
- +0.59%
- -0.77%
INVH Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 12 | 60% | |
| 2–3 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
INVH Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with INVH's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $60.00
- After-tax dividend
- $39.00
- Slippage round-trip
- -$4.98
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$34.02
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.68%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~34.4%
INVH Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical INVH ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · INVH (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| -0.77% | |
| +0.59% | |
| +0.52% | |
| -3.45% | |
| +0.58% | |
| +0.71% | |
| +0.80% | |
| +0.76% | |
| +0.75% | |
| -0.63% | |
| +0.82% | |
| +0.82% | |
| +0.80% | |
| +0.79% | |
| -1.23% | |
| +0.84% | |
| +0.88% | |
| +0.99% | |
| +1.10% | |
| +1.21% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.