Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what INVH is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$68.59
Method range
$9.46 – $68.59
median $31.43
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $68.59 | +128.34% |
| Exit multiple | $32.04 | +6.66% |
| Analyst target | $30.82 | +2.60% |
| Graham number | $9.46 | -68.52% |
- Forward DCF$68.59
- Exit multiple$32.04
- Analyst target$30.82
- Graham number$9.46
Stock price
$30.04
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.39
3Y FCF CAGR
5.1%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$7.68
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
23.3%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -291.0% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
5.1%
Your model implies
23.3%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 5% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.8% | 19.4% | 18.4% | 17.3% | 16.0% | 14.6% |
| 7.8% | 22.2% | 21.4% | 20.4% | 19.4% | 18.3% |
| 8.8% | 24.8% | 24.1% | 23.3% | 22.4% | 21.5% |
| 9.8% | 27.2% | 26.5% | 25.8% | 25.1% | 24.3% |
| 10.8% | 29.4% | 28.9% | 28.3% | 27.6% | 26.9% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
2.81
Demanding vs growth
Net debt
$8.3B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.86
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Invitation Homes (INVH) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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