Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what JNJ is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$572.15
Method range
$236.27 – $572.15
median $250.58
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $572.15 | +145.80% |
| Exit multiple | $236.27 | +1.50% |
| Analyst target | $250.58 | +7.65% |
| Graham number | — | — |
- Forward DCF$572.15
- Exit multiple$236.27
- Analyst target$250.58
- Graham number—
Stock price
$232.77
EPS (TTM)
$8.50
5Y EPS CAGR
11.9%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$572.15
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
1.1%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 59.3% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
11.9%
Your model implies
1.1%
Next-year analyst consensus
36.2%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | 0.8% | -0.5% | -2.1% | -4.0% | -6.4% |
| 5.0% | 0.8% | -0.5% | -2.1% | -4.0% | -6.4% |
| 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | -0.3% | -2.0% |
| 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
14.99
Demanding vs growth
Net debt
$28.2B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.26
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
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