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Fair Value for JPMorgan Chase (JPM)

See growth priced into JPMorgan Chase (JPM): reverse DCF, implied rate vs history and analysts, FCF view. Free intrinsic value calculator for education.

Fair value (multi-method)

Four independent methods triangulate what JPM is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.

Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)

$1,037.22

Margin of safety
+66.43% vs current price $348.21

Method range

$151.42 $1,037.22

median $306.20

Methods disagree

Valuation methods

Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.

  • Forward DCF$1,037.22
  • Exit multiple$245.90
  • Analyst target$366.50
  • Graham number$151.42

Stock price

$348.21

EPS (TTM)

$23.21

5Y EPS CAGR

17.7%

Fair value @ hist. growth

$1,037.22

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.

Implied EPS growth

3.0%

per year over your projection horizon

Discount vs DCF

Margin of safety 66.4% vs hist-growth DCF

Historical 5Y CAGR

17.7%

Your model implies

3.0%

Next-year analyst consensus

4.8%

Model inputs

Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.

Discount rate (cost of equity proxy)9.6%
Terminal growth2.50%
Projection years10 yr

Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions

Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.

Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.6%0.1%-0.5%-1.3%-2.0%-2.9%
8.6%2.1%1.6%1.0%0.3%-0.4%
9.6%4.0%3.5%3.0%2.4%1.8%
10.6%5.7%5.3%4.9%4.4%3.9%
11.6%7.4%7.0%6.6%6.2%5.7%
Color≤ historical CAGRModerate premiumHigh premium (≥ 15pp above hist)Your inputs

Historical multiples

Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.

P/EToday16.0· at high
5Y low10.3
Median11.1
5Y high16.0
P/SToday3.2
5Y low2.1
Median2.6
5Y high3.8
EV/EBITDAToday18.4· at high
5Y low4.2
Median7.6
5Y high18.4

PEG

0.39

Low vs growth

Net debt

$599B

Total debt − cash

Beta

0.98

Vs market benchmark

Annual diluted EPS

Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.

Scale: 4.34 to 20.05 EPS; horizontal line at 0. Fiscal years with no row in the database are omitted.

Frequently asked questions