Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what KBH is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$139.04
Method range
$20.71 – $139.04
median $27.17
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $139.04 | +156.53% |
| Exit multiple | $20.71 | -61.79% |
| Analyst target | — | — |
| Graham number | $27.17 | -49.87% |
- Forward DCF$139.04
- Exit multiple$20.71
- Analyst target—
- Graham number$27.17
Stock price
$54.20
EPS (TTM)
$5.18
5Y EPS CAGR
14.5%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$139.04
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
1.1%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 61.0% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
14.5%
Your model implies
1.1%
Next-year analyst consensus
-38.0%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.4% | -1.4% | -1.9% | -2.3% | -2.8% | -3.4% |
| 10.4% | 0.2% | -0.2% | -0.6% | -1.0% | -1.5% |
| 11.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| 12.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% |
| 13.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$1.5B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.38
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
KB Home (KBH) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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