Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what KBH is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$109.64
Method range
$21.46 – $109.64
median $42.78
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $109.64 | +94.82% |
| Exit multiple | $21.46 | -61.87% |
| Analyst target | $61.00 | +8.39% |
| Graham number | $24.57 | -56.35% |
- Forward DCF$109.64
- Exit multiple$21.46
- Analyst target$61.00
- Graham number$24.57
Stock price
$56.28
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.36
3Y FCF CAGR
38.9%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$51.93
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
40.2%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -8.4% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
38.9%
Your model implies
40.2%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 39% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.4% | 36.5% | 35.7% | 34.9% | 34.0% | 33.0% |
| 10.4% | 39.0% | 38.3% | 37.6% | 36.8% | 36.0% |
| 11.4% | 41.4% | 40.8% | 40.2% | 39.5% | 38.7% |
| 12.4% | 43.7% | 43.2% | 42.6% | 42.0% | 41.3% |
| 13.4% | 46.0% | 45.4% | 44.9% | 44.3% | 43.7% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$1.5B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.34
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks13.25% TTM
- Dividend Profile1.78% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History2 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.