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Price Target for KB Home (KBH)

Interactive scenarios for KB Home (KBH) at about $54.20. Default base case lands near $22.37 in 5 years from a 10% decline and a 7× exit P/E — about a 16.2% annual decline.

Trading at premium
Analysis

Stock price

$54.20

TTM EPS

$5.18

P/E (TTM)

10.16

Net debt

$1.5B

Beta

1.38

Valuation context

How today's valuation compares to its own 5-year history.

P/E vs 5Y median

Where today's P/E sits versus its trailing five-year median.

+41.4%
Stretched
DiscountFair valuePremiumStretched
−50%at median+50%

KBH trades 41.4% above its 5-year median P/E — well beyond its historical range.

Breakdown5Y low · median · 5Y highToday
P/E
3.47.210.2
10.2
P/S
0.40.70.9
0.7
EV/EBITDA
4.37.19.9
9.9
EPS 5Y
5Y CAGR+14.5%

Scenario calculator

Enter EPS growth and exit P/E per scenario. The chart starts at the current share price (Now) and transitions the P/E from today's trailing multiple toward your Exit P/E over the horizon. Same live price and TTM EPS as the rest of the page.

Whole number from 1 to 10 years.
bear
Percent per year from negative thirty to fifty. Use a period or comma as the decimal separator.
Exit price-to-earnings multiple, whole number from 5 to 80.
base
Percent per year from negative thirty to fifty. Use a period or comma as the decimal separator.
Exit price-to-earnings multiple, whole number from 5 to 80.
bull
Percent per year from negative thirty to fifty. Use a period or comma as the decimal separator.
Exit price-to-earnings multiple, whole number from 5 to 80.

Base case: with about a 10% decline per year and a 7× exit multiple over 5 years, the model lands KBH near $22.37 — an implied about a 16.2% annual decline.

Your base case implies a $33.62 12-month target. Save it to join the community consensus.

Implied price path (by year)

Paths start at $54.20 (Now); the P/E transitions from today's trailing multiple toward Exit P/E by the horizon year.

At horizon (2031)

  • Bear$13.11
  • Base$22.37
  • Bull$56.46

Sensitivity (base case)

Sensitivity grid — sweeps EPS growth and exit P/E around your base inputs. Simple mode only; bear, bull, and Advanced (revenue) paths are not included.

Implied share price at the horizon for each combination: EPS growth in the rows, exit P/E in the columns; other settings stay fixed.

Row axis: EPS growth. Column axis: exit P/E.Exit P/E →↓ EPS growth1×2×7×12×17×
-20%$2$4$12$21$30
-15%$2$5$17$29$40
-10%$3$7$22$38$54
-5%$4$9$29$50$70
0%$5$12$38$64$90
LegendGreen: >10% above today's priceAmber: within ±10%Red: >10% below today's price

Shade depth: darker fill within the same color band means a higher implied price in that cell (across the grid).

Annual diluted EPS

GAAP diluted EPS by fiscal year — use as context for growth assumptions above, not a forecast. Across 14 fiscal years, diluted EPS went from about $-0.76 in 2012 to about $6.15 in 2025.

Scale: -0.76 to 9.25 EPS; horizontal line at 0. Fiscal years with no row in the database are omitted.

Diluted EPS year-over-year change

Percent change vs the previous fiscal year. If a fiscal year is missing, the comparison is to the prior available year. Year-over-year EPS change in this window ranged from a high of +2002.3% to a low of -91.1%.

Your EPS growth vs next-year analyst consensus

Same basis for every column: one-step implied EPS growth (next-year average estimate vs TTM). Consensus uses 11 EPS estimates. Δ (pts) is your growth minus consensus in percentage points, not "percent of consensus."

KB Home (KBH) Key Financials

Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.

Relative valuation

How KBH trades versus its Consumer Cyclical peers and its own history. Lower multiples are cheaper; the band marks where each multiple sits between its 5-year low (left) and high (right).

No signal
  • P/E (TTM)—
    No signal
  • EV/EBITDA—
    No signal
  • P/S (TTM)—
    No signal

Peers in the Consumer Cyclical sector

Compare KBH against its Consumer Cyclical peers on the three core multiples. Lower is cheaper; tap a column to rank the peer set. Open any peer's price target page for its full scenario breakdown. Filtered to active common stock, excluding ETFs and funds.

About the KBH price target calculator

The KBH price target calculator projects a future share price by compounding trailing twelve-month earnings per share at an assumed growth rate and applying an exit P/E multiple at the end of the horizon. The stock currently trades at about $54.20, a P/E of roughly 10.2× on TTM EPS of $5.18.

11 analysts cover KBH for the next fiscal year, with EPS estimates ranging from $2.69 to $3.84 and a consensus average of $3.21. Versus the latest TTM EPS of about $5.18, that consensus implies roughly a 38.0% decline next year. That sits a notable shift from the trailing 5-year EPS history of 14.5% growth per year — one useful sanity check on whether consensus is anchored to history or expecting a regime change.

Frequently asked questions

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