Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what KHC is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
—
Method range
$22.60 – $41.37
median $23.09
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | — | — |
| Exit multiple | $41.37 | +83.22% |
| Analyst target | $22.60 | +0.09% |
| Graham number | $23.09 | +2.28% |
- Forward DCF—
- Exit multiple$41.37
- Analyst target$22.60
- Graham number$23.09
Stock price
$22.58
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.64
3Y FCF CAGR
-3.8%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$15.07
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
0.7%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -49.8% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-3.8%
Your model implies
0.7%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -4% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | -1.3% | -3.8% |
| 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | -1.3% | -3.8% |
| 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | -1.3% | -3.8% |
| 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| 7.0% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.38
Low vs growth
Net debt
$18.6B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.08
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Kraft Heinz (KHC) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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