Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what KHC is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
—
Method range
$22.78 – $41.35
median $23.09
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | — | — |
| Exit multiple | $41.35 | +59.27% |
| Analyst target | $22.78 | -12.25% |
| Graham number | $23.09 | -11.04% |
- Forward DCF—
- Exit multiple$41.35
- Analyst target$22.78
- Graham number$23.09
Stock price
$25.96
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.64
3Y FCF CAGR
-3.8%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$14.77
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
2.5%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -75.8% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-3.8%
Your model implies
2.5%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -4% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.3% | -2.3% |
| 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.3% | -2.3% |
| 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% | -2.0% |
| 6.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% |
| 7.1% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.38
Low vs growth
Net debt
$18.6B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.08
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Kraft Heinz (KHC) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.