Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what KIM is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$3.18
Method range
$3.18 – $24.53
median $13.39
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $3.18 | -86.87% |
| Exit multiple | $17.53 | -27.64% |
| Analyst target | $24.53 | +1.24% |
| Graham number | $9.24 | -61.86% |
- Forward DCF$3.18
- Exit multiple$17.53
- Analyst target$24.53
- Graham number$9.24
Stock price
$24.23
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.27
3Y FCF CAGR
-1.4%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$2.96
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
27.2%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -719.1% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-1.4%
Your model implies
27.2%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -1% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.5% | 23.4% | 22.5% | 21.5% | 20.3% | 19.1% |
| 8.5% | 26.1% | 25.3% | 24.5% | 23.5% | 22.5% |
| 9.5% | 28.6% | 27.9% | 27.2% | 26.4% | 25.5% |
| 10.5% | 31.0% | 30.4% | 29.7% | 29.0% | 28.2% |
| 11.5% | 33.2% | 32.7% | 32.1% | 31.4% | 30.8% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
5.04
Demanding vs growth
Net debt
$8.4B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.99
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Kimco Realty (KIM) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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