Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what LI is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
—
Method range
$0.23 – $17.72
median $10.17
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | — | — |
| Exit multiple | $10.17 | -16.05% |
| Analyst target | $17.72 | +46.20% |
| Graham number | $0.23 | -98.11% |
- Forward DCF—
- Exit multiple$10.17
- Analyst target$17.72
- Graham number$0.23
Stock price
$12.12
EPS (TTM)
N/A
3Y EPS CAGR
-69.3%
Fair value @ hist. growth
—
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Reverse DCF did not solve for the current inputs — adjust discount rate, terminal growth, or horizon below.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.00
Low vs growth
Net cash
$38.9B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.55
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 3 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Li Auto (LI) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.