LRCX dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 95% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Lam Research (LRCX) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.58), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, LRCX sits roughly in line with the Technology sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Sep 16, 2026 (±7 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
95%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.58
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.58 | +0.42 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | 0.36% | +0.75pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 70% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -5.23% | -0.19pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 4 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±7 days.
Dividend
$0.26
Per-event yield
0.07%
Annualized yield
0.28%
Previously paid
Jun 17, 2026 ($0.26)
Last record date
Jun 17, 2026
Last payment date
Jul 8, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Lam Research (LRCX). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.26 | 3.43% | $369.34 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.15% | +8.86% | |
| Q1 | $0.26 | 2.04% | $217.27 | 1 | yes | yes | -10.67% | +0.86% | |
| Q4 | $0.26 | -0.82% | $158.19 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.19% | +6.53% | |
| Q3 | $0.26 | -1.46% | $131.93 | 4 | yes | yes | -5.24% | +8.43% | |
| Q2 | $0.23 | 0.42% | $92.66 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.30% | +4.76% | |
| Q1 | $0.23 | 0.42% | $76.44 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.22% | +0.50% | |
| Q4 | $0.23 | 1.58% | $75.13 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.62% | +0.40% | |
| Q3 | $2.30 | 1.86% | $75.85 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.76% | +7.33% | |
| Q2 | $2.00 | -0.07% | $107.17 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.52% | +0.38% | |
| Q1 | $2.00 | 0.25% | $93.12 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.75% | +2.14% | |
| Q4 | $2.00 | -0.35% | $73.56 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.92% | +8.89% | |
| Q3 | $2.00 | -1.43% | $66.37 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.24% | -2.79% | |
| Q2 | $1.73 | -0.40% | $62.75 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.64% | -0.71% | |
| Q1 | $1.73 | 1.70% | $47.70 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.63% | +9.99% | |
| Q4 | $1.73 | 4.57% | $46.43 | 1 | yes | yes | -14.47% | -2.08% | |
| Q3 | $1.73 | -4.09% | $44.73 | >30 | no | no | -17.04% | -5.96% | |
| Q2 | $1.50 | 1.39% | $44.71 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.98% | -1.45% | |
| Q1 | $1.50 | 1.32% | $46.90 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.55% | +19.79% | |
| Q4 | $1.50 | -1.52% | $68.50 | 2 | yes | yes | -4.54% | +1.91% | |
| Q3 | $1.50 | -1.55% | $61.25 | 1 | yes | yes | -11.05% | -7.74% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 17 | 85% | |
| 2–3 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
Pre-filled with LRCX's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical LRCX ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+1.47%
Win rate (20 trades)
95%
Cumulative P&L
+29.50%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+551.61%
Best event
+3.72%
Worst event
-5.96%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · LRCX (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +2.45% | |
| +2.19% | |
| +3.20% | |
| +3.35% | |
| -5.96% | |
| +3.72% | |
| +3.62% | |
| +2.75% | |
| +3.01% | |
| +2.72% | |
| +2.15% | |
| +1.87% | |
| +3.03% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +0.30% | |
| +0.25% | |
| +0.20% | |
| +0.16% | |
| +0.12% | |
| +0.07% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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