Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what LRCX is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$182.91
Method range
$16.68 – $365.50
median $174.18
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $182.91 | -42.71% |
| Exit multiple | $165.44 | -48.18% |
| Analyst target | $365.50 | +14.47% |
| Graham number | $16.68 | -94.77% |
- Forward DCF$182.91
- Exit multiple$165.44
- Analyst target$365.50
- Graham number$16.68
Stock price
$319.29
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.65
3Y FCF CAGR
17.1%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$15.66
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
64.4%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -1,939.0% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
17.1%
Your model implies
64.4%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 17% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.7% | 60.5% | 59.8% | 59.0% | 58.2% | 57.4% |
| 12.7% | 63.1% | 62.5% | 61.8% | 61.1% | 60.3% |
| 13.7% | 65.6% | 65.0% | 64.4% | 63.8% | 63.1% |
| 14.7% | 68.1% | 67.5% | 67.0% | 66.4% | 65.7% |
| 15.0% | 68.8% | 68.3% | 67.7% | 67.1% | 66.5% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
2.29
Demanding vs growth
Net cash
$1.63B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.81
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Lam Research (LRCX) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks1.96% TTM
- Dividend Profile0.33% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History3 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.