Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what MAIN is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$6,789.79
Method range
$20.37 – $6,789.79
median $47.56
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $6,789.79 | +13,005.16% |
| Exit multiple | $35.91 | -30.69% |
| Analyst target | $59.20 | +14.26% |
| Graham number | $20.37 | -60.69% |
- Forward DCF$6,789.79
- Exit multiple$35.91
- Analyst target$59.20
- Graham number$20.37
Stock price
$51.81
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.50
3Y FCF CAGR
5.7%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$11.58
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
25.3%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -347.6% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
5.7%
Your model implies
25.3%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 6% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.2% | 21.1% | 19.9% | 18.6% | 17.0% | 15.2% |
| 7.2% | 24.3% | 23.3% | 22.2% | 21.0% | 19.6% |
| 8.2% | 27.1% | 26.3% | 25.3% | 24.3% | 23.2% |
| 9.2% | 29.7% | 29.0% | 28.2% | 27.3% | 26.4% |
| 10.2% | 32.2% | 31.5% | 30.8% | 30.1% | 29.3% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$2.4B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.73
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Main Street Capital (MAIN) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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