Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what MAIN is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$6,620.66
Method range
$20.37 – $6,620.66
median $44.45
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $6,620.66 | +12,242.76% |
| Exit multiple | $35.23 | -34.33% |
| Analyst target | $53.67 | +0.06% |
| Graham number | $20.37 | -62.03% |
- Forward DCF$6,620.66
- Exit multiple$35.23
- Analyst target$53.67
- Graham number$20.37
Stock price
$53.64
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.50
3Y FCF CAGR
5.7%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$11.36
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
26.1%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -372.4% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
5.7%
Your model implies
26.1%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 6% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | 21.9% | 20.8% | 19.4% | 17.9% | 16.1% |
| 7.3% | 25.1% | 24.1% | 23.0% | 21.8% | 20.4% |
| 8.3% | 27.9% | 27.0% | 26.1% | 25.1% | 24.0% |
| 9.3% | 30.5% | 29.7% | 29.0% | 28.1% | 27.2% |
| 10.3% | 32.9% | 32.3% | 31.6% | 30.8% | 30.0% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$2.42B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.73
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Main Street Capital (MAIN) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.