MCHP dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 95% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Microchip Technology (MCHP) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.15), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, MCHP sits roughly in line with the Technology sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Aug 22, 2026 (±2 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
95%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.15
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.15 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.40% | in line with sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 45% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -5.34% | -0.30pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 13 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±2 days.
Dividend
$0.46
Per-event yield
0.50%
Annualized yield
1.95%
Previously paid
May 22, 2026 ($0.46)
Last record date
May 22, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 5, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Microchip Technology (MCHP). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.46 | -0.48% | $91.11 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.90% | +0.95% | |
| Q1 | $0.46 | -0.76% | $77.73 | 1 | yes | yes | -17.42% | -3.81% | |
| Q4 | $0.46 | -0.71% | $50.90 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.16% | +12.31% | |
| Q3 | $0.46 | 0.23% | $66.10 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.56% | -0.98% | |
| Q2 | $0.46 | 0.00% | $59.25 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.95% | -1.27% | |
| Q1 | $0.46 | -0.15% | $61.07 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.32% | -4.36% | |
| Q4 | $0.46 | -1.25% | $66.51 | 1 | yes | yes | -12.86% | +6.40% | |
| Q3 | $0.45 | -0.65% | $82.81 | >30 | no | no | -9.30% | -1.66% | |
| Q2 | $0.45 | -2.14% | $96.46 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.86% | -0.46% | |
| Q1 | $0.45 | 0.71% | $83.48 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.97% | +1.33% | |
| Q4 | $0.44 | -1.00% | $84.71 | 8 | no | yes | -4.21% | -1.52% | |
| Q3 | $0.41 | 0.37% | $79.41 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.76% | +1.62% | |
| Q2 | $0.38 | -0.38% | $78.30 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.88% | +0.51% | |
| Q1 | $0.36 | -0.76% | $84.64 | 13 | no | yes | -6.71% | -4.33% | |
| Q4 | $0.33 | -0.90% | $74.17 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.45% | +0.51% | |
| Q3 | $0.30 | 0.20% | $71.69 | 1 | yes | yes | -11.37% | -1.13% | |
| Q2 | $0.28 | -0.68% | $66.14 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.14% | +6.34% | |
| Q1 | $0.25 | 0.21% | $71.17 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.46% | -0.82% | |
| Q4 | $0.23 | 1.07% | $82.86 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.02% | -3.09% | |
| Q3 | $0.44 | -0.93% | $71.83 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.87% | +9.16% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 15 | 75% | |
| 2–3 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
Pre-filled with MCHP's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical MCHP ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.09%
Win rate (20 trades)
85%
Cumulative P&L
+1.89%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+41.15%
Best event
+0.89%
Worst event
-4.33%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · MCHP (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.61% | |
| +0.28% | |
| +0.36% | |
| +0.42% | |
| +0.42% | |
| +0.44% | |
| -4.33% | |
| +0.49% | |
| +0.52% | |
| -1.52% | |
| +0.54% | |
| +0.47% | |
| -1.66% | |
| +0.68% | |
| +0.75% | |
| +0.77% | |
| +0.69% | |
| +0.89% | |
| +0.59% | |
| +0.50% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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