Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what MCHP is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$0.82
Method range
$0.82 – $107.82
median $49.11
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $0.82 | -99.07% |
| Exit multiple | $89.79 | +1.65% |
| Analyst target | $107.82 | +22.05% |
| Graham number | $8.44 | -90.45% |
- Forward DCF$0.82
- Exit multiple$89.79
- Analyst target$107.82
- Graham number$8.44
Stock price
$88.34
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.45
3Y FCF CAGR
-22.3%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$1.06
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
47.9%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -8252.3% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-22.3%
Your model implies
47.9%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -22% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.2% | 44.3% | 43.6% | 42.9% | 42.2% | 41.4% |
| 12.2% | 46.7% | 46.1% | 45.5% | 44.8% | 44.1% |
| 13.2% | 49.0% | 48.5% | 47.9% | 47.3% | 46.7% |
| 14.2% | 51.2% | 50.7% | 50.2% | 49.7% | 49.1% |
| 15.0% | 53.0% | 52.6% | 52.1% | 51.6% | 51.0% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.27
Low vs growth
Net debt
$5.3B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.73
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Microchip Technology (MCHP) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation