Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what MCHP is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$0.82
Method range
$0.82 – $110.73
median $49.44
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $0.82 | -99.04% |
| Exit multiple | $90.44 | +6.37% |
| Analyst target | $110.73 | +30.24% |
| Graham number | $8.44 | -90.08% |
- Forward DCF$0.82
- Exit multiple$90.44
- Analyst target$110.73
- Graham number$8.44
Stock price
$85.02
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.45
3Y FCF CAGR
-22.3%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$1.05
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
47.6%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -7,980.8% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-22.3%
Your model implies
47.6%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -22% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.3% | 44.0% | 43.4% | 42.7% | 42.0% | 41.2% |
| 12.3% | 46.4% | 45.8% | 45.2% | 44.6% | 43.9% |
| 13.3% | 48.7% | 48.1% | 47.6% | 47.0% | 46.4% |
| 14.3% | 50.9% | 50.4% | 49.9% | 49.3% | 48.8% |
| 15.0% | 52.4% | 51.9% | 51.4% | 50.9% | 50.4% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.34
Low vs growth
Net debt
$5.29B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.73
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Microchip Technology (MCHP) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks
- Dividend Profile2.14% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History8 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.