Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what MDB is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
—
Method range
$6.73 – $6,189.38
median $408.92
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | — | — |
| Exit multiple | $6,189.38 | +1,664.66% |
| Analyst target | $408.92 | +16.59% |
| Graham number | $6.73 | -98.08% |
- Forward DCF—
- Exit multiple$6,189.38
- Analyst target$408.92
- Graham number$6.73
Stock price
$350.74
FCF / share (TTM)
$2.48
3Y FCF CAGR
95.0%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$7880.29
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
40.7%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 95.5% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
95.0%
Your model implies
40.7%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 95% annual growth.
Cumulative FCF covers the current price by year 7.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.3% | 37.1% | 36.5% | 35.7% | 35.0% | 34.1% |
| 11.3% | 39.5% | 38.9% | 38.3% | 37.6% | 36.9% |
| 12.3% | 41.8% | 41.3% | 40.7% | 40.1% | 39.4% |
| 13.3% | 44.0% | 43.5% | 43.0% | 42.4% | 41.8% |
| 14.3% | 46.2% | 45.7% | 45.2% | 44.7% | 44.1% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net cash
$1.1B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.55
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
MongoDB (MDB) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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