Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what MDB is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
—
Method range
$6.73 – $6,187.22
median $400.18
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | — | — |
| Exit multiple | $6,187.22 | +1,928.80% |
| Analyst target | $400.18 | +31.22% |
| Graham number | $6.73 | -97.79% |
- Forward DCF—
- Exit multiple$6,187.22
- Analyst target$400.18
- Graham number$6.73
Stock price
$304.97
FCF / share (TTM)
$2.48
3Y FCF CAGR
95.0%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$7,747.85
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
38.8%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 96.1% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
95.0%
Your model implies
38.8%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 95% annual growth.
Cumulative FCF covers the current price by year 7.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.4% | 35.3% | 34.6% | 33.9% | 33.2% | 32.4% |
| 11.4% | 37.6% | 37.0% | 36.4% | 35.8% | 35.1% |
| 12.4% | 39.9% | 39.3% | 38.8% | 38.2% | 37.5% |
| 13.4% | 42.0% | 41.5% | 41.0% | 40.5% | 39.9% |
| 14.4% | 44.1% | 43.7% | 43.2% | 42.7% | 42.2% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net cash
$1.05B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.55
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
MongoDB (MDB) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.