Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what MDT is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$108.49
Method range
$96.57 – $154.63
median $108.49
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $108.49 | +32.85% |
| Exit multiple | $154.63 | +89.34% |
| Analyst target | $96.57 | +18.24% |
| Graham number | — | — |
- Forward DCF$108.49
- Exit multiple$154.63
- Analyst target$96.57
- Graham number—
Stock price
$81.67
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.63
3Y FCF CAGR
-1.2%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$24.68
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
13.9%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -231.0% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-1.2%
Your model implies
13.9%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -1% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.5% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.4% |
| 6.5% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.1% |
| 7.5% | 15.7% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 11.8% |
| 8.5% | 18.2% | 17.5% | 16.7% | 15.8% | 14.9% |
| 9.5% | 20.5% | 19.8% | 19.2% | 18.4% | 17.7% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
2.12
Demanding vs growth
Net debt
$26.3B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.60
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Medtronic (MDT) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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