Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what MDT is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$107.36
Method range
$29.02 – $154.04
median $101.58
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $107.36 | +31.10% |
| Exit multiple | $154.04 | +88.11% |
| Analyst target | $95.80 | +16.99% |
| Graham number | $29.02 | -64.57% |
- Forward DCF$107.36
- Exit multiple$154.04
- Analyst target$95.80
- Graham number$29.02
Stock price
$81.89
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.63
3Y FCF CAGR
-1.2%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$24.45
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
14.1%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -235.0% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-1.2%
Your model implies
14.1%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -1% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.6% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% |
| 6.6% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.3% |
| 7.6% | 15.9% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 12.0% |
| 8.6% | 18.3% | 17.6% | 16.8% | 16.0% | 15.1% |
| 9.6% | 20.6% | 20.0% | 19.3% | 18.6% | 17.8% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
2.10
Demanding vs growth
Net debt
$26B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.58
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Medtronic (MDT) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks0.97% TTM
- Dividend Profile3.48% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History7 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.