Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what MET is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$57.04
Method range
$41.40 – $116.39
median $75.66
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $57.04 | -32.49% |
| Exit multiple | $116.39 | +37.76% |
| Analyst target | $94.29 | +11.60% |
| Graham number | $41.40 | -51.00% |
- Forward DCF$57.04
- Exit multiple$116.39
- Analyst target$94.29
- Graham number$41.40
Stock price
$84.49
FCF / share (TTM)
$4.12
3Y FCF CAGR
16.6%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$207.90
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
4.8%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 59.4% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
16.6%
Your model implies
4.8%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 17% annual growth.
Cumulative FCF covers the current price by year 9.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | -0.3% | -1.4% | -2.7% |
| 7.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% |
| 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% |
| 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.20
Low vs growth
Net cash
$1.8B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.78
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
MetLife (MET) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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