Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what MKC is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$106.22
Method range
$47.00 – $106.22
median $73.35
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $106.22 | +124.84% |
| Exit multiple | $76.70 | +62.36% |
| Analyst target | $70.00 | +48.18% |
| Graham number | $47.00 | -0.51% |
- Forward DCF$106.22
- Exit multiple$76.70
- Analyst target$70.00
- Graham number$47.00
Stock price
$47.24
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.19
3Y FCF CAGR
7.8%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$5.59
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
36.3%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -745.2% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
7.8%
Your model implies
36.3%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 8% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.8% | 31.4% | 29.9% | 28.2% | 26.2% | 23.9% |
| 6.8% | 35.1% | 33.9% | 32.6% | 31.0% | 29.3% |
| 7.8% | 38.4% | 37.4% | 36.3% | 35.0% | 33.7% |
| 8.8% | 41.5% | 40.6% | 39.6% | 38.6% | 37.4% |
| 9.8% | 44.3% | 43.5% | 42.6% | 41.7% | 40.8% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.01
Low vs growth
Net debt
$3.9B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.64
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
McCormick & Company (MKC) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation