Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what MKC is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$103.78
Method range
$18.65 – $103.78
median $68.89
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $103.78 | +99.50% |
| Exit multiple | $76.37 | +46.81% |
| Analyst target | $61.40 | +18.03% |
| Graham number | $18.65 | -64.14% |
- Forward DCF$103.78
- Exit multiple$76.37
- Analyst target$61.40
- Graham number$18.65
Stock price
$52.02
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.25
3Y FCF CAGR
7.8%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$36.63
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
12.2%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -42.0% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
7.8%
Your model implies
12.2%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 8% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| 6.8% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% |
| 7.8% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.3% |
| 8.8% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 13.2% |
| 9.8% | 18.4% | 17.8% | 17.2% | 16.5% | 15.8% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$3.9B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.63
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
McCormick & Company (MKC) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks0.41% TTM
- Dividend Profile3.63% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History6 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.