MO dividend capture — median 6d pre-ex touch, 70% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Altria Group (MO) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 70% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 6 trading days (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is comparable to the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 1.22), so post-ex noise can offset much of the dividend in any single trade.
Versus its sector, MO sits noticeably below the Consumer Defensive sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, so this ticker touches more slowly than peers.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Sep 13, 2026 (±7 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
70%
Median days-to-touch
6d
Signal-to-noise
1.22
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 70% | -25pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 6d | +5.0d vs sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 1.22 | +0.85 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -2.02% | -1.38pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 50% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -5.27% | -1.28pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 2 / 20 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±7 days.
Dividend
$1.06
Per-event yield
1.47%
Annualized yield
6.09%
Previously paid
Jun 15, 2026 ($1.06)
Last record date
Jun 15, 2026
Last payment date
Jul 10, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Altria Group (MO). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $1.06 | -2.59% | $71.94 | 7 | no | yes | -5.38% | +1.01% | |
| Q1 | $1.06 | -1.97% | $64.32 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.25% | +3.45% | |
| Q4 | $1.06 | -1.92% | $58.98 | 12 | no | yes | -7.26% | -2.75% | |
| Q3 | $1.06 | -2.03% | $66.65 | 17 | no | yes | -4.86% | -2.70% | |
| Q2 | $1.02 | -1.99% | $59.81 | 5 | yes | yes | -2.74% | +1.87% | |
| Q1 | $1.02 | -1.99% | $57.65 | 2 | yes | yes | -8.38% | +3.75% | |
| Q4 | $1.02 | -2.23% | $53.47 | 20 | no | yes | -5.46% | +1.29% | |
| Q3 | $1.02 | -1.74% | $52.96 | >30 | no | no | -5.74% | -1.74% | |
| Q2 | $0.98 | -2.75% | $45.75 | 5 | yes | yes | -4.20% | +3.67% | |
| Q1 | $0.98 | -2.31% | $44.95 | >30 | no | no | -7.96% | -1.67% | |
| Q4 | $0.98 | -2.71% | $42.44 | >30 | no | no | -5.68% | -3.02% | |
| Q3 | $0.98 | -2.08% | $44.75 | >30 | no | no | -7.06% | -1.92% | |
| Q2 | $0.94 | -1.88% | $45.76 | 13 | no | yes | -5.29% | -2.32% | |
| Q1 | $0.94 | -1.68% | $45.15 | 8 | no | yes | -4.21% | +0.64% | |
| Q4 | $0.94 | -1.79% | $46.44 | 4 | yes | yes | -3.12% | +0.80% | |
| Q3 | $0.94 | -2.02% | $42.97 | 4 | yes | yes | -5.26% | +2.28% | |
| Q2 | $0.90 | -1.61% | $47.16 | >30 | no | no | -13.06% | -10.09% | |
| Q1 | $0.90 | -1.35% | $53.22 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.80% | -0.13% | |
| Q4 | $0.90 | -1.88% | $47.77 | 8 | no | yes | -4.10% | +0.80% | |
| Q3 | $0.90 | -1.90% | $50.08 | >30 | no | no | -4.81% | -2.30% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 0 | 0% | |
| 2–3 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 4–5 days | 4 | 20% | |
| 6–10 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 11–30 days | 4 | 20% | |
| 30+ | 6 | 30% |
Pre-filled with MO's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical MO ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
-0.58%
Win rate (20 trades)
55%
Cumulative P&L
-11.59%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+78.10%
Best event
+2.19%
Worst event
-10.09%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · MO (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| -2.30% | |
| +0.80% | |
| +1.69% | |
| -10.09% | |
| +2.19% | |
| +2.02% | |
| +0.64% | |
| -2.32% | |
| -1.92% | |
| -3.02% | |
| -1.67% | |
| +2.14% | |
| -1.74% | |
| +1.29% | |
| +1.77% | |
| +1.71% | |
| -2.70% | |
| -2.75% | |
| +1.65% | |
| +1.01% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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