Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what MO is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$214.60
Method range
$71.83 – $214.60
median $73.80
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $214.60 | +197.27% |
| Exit multiple | $73.80 | +2.23% |
| Analyst target | $71.83 | -0.50% |
| Graham number | — | — |
- Forward DCF$214.60
- Exit multiple$73.80
- Analyst target$71.83
- Graham number—
Stock price
$72.19
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.33
3Y FCF CAGR
4.9%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$35.78
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
13.7%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -101.8% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
4.9%
Your model implies
13.7%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 5% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.1% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| 6.1% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% |
| 7.1% | 15.6% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 11.3% |
| 8.1% | 18.2% | 17.5% | 16.6% | 15.7% | 14.7% |
| 9.1% | 20.6% | 20.0% | 19.2% | 18.5% | 17.6% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.13
Low vs growth
Net debt
$21.2B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.52
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Altria Group (MO) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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