Moderna (MRNA) seasonality heatmap
Returns across monthly, quarterly, and yearly periods. Cell color encodes signed magnitude; the scale auto-fits each table.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +49.4% | +21.6% | -5.2% | -9.6% | +2.7% | +5.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | -5.2% | -21.5% | -8.4% | +0.7% | -6.9% | +3.9% | +7.1% | -18.5% | +7.2% | +5.1% | -4.3% | +13.5% |
| 2024 | +1.6% | -8.7% | +15.5% | +3.5% | +29.2% | -16.7% | +0.4% | -35.1% | -13.7% | -18.7% | -20.8% | -3.4% |
| 2023 | -2.0% | -21.2% | +10.6% | -13.5% | -3.9% | -4.9% | -3.2% | -3.9% | -8.6% | -26.5% | +2.3% | +28.0% |
| 2022 | -33.3% | -9.3% | +12.1% | -22.0% | +8.1% | -1.7% | +14.9% | -19.4% | -10.6% | +27.1% | +17.0% | +2.1% |
| 2021 | +65.8% | -10.6% | -15.4% | +36.6% | +3.5% | +27.0% | +50.5% | +6.5% | +2.2% | -10.3% | +2.1% | -27.9% |
| 2020 | +4.9% | +26.4% | +15.5% | +53.6% | +33.7% | +4.4% | +15.4% | -12.4% | +9.0% | -4.6% | +126.4% | -31.6% |
| 2019 | +8.7% | +36.1% | -10.0% | +27.9% | -20.2% | -29.5% | -10.5% | +20.1% | +1.2% | +5.2% | +21.6% | -3.9% |
| 2018 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Avg | +11.2% | +1.6% | +1.9% | +9.7% | +5.8% | -2.5% | +10.7% | -9.0% | -1.9% | -3.2% | +20.6% | -3.3% |
| Median | +3.2% | -9.0% | +2.7% | +2.1% | +3.1% | -1.7% | +7.1% | -12.4% | +1.2% | -4.6% | +2.3% | -3.4% |
| Last 5Y Avg | +2.1% | -7.8% | +4.9% | -8.2% | +5.8% | +1.5% | +13.9% | -14.1% | -4.7% | -4.6% | -0.7% | +2.4% |
| Std Dev (σ) | 31.6% | 22.8% | 12.8% | 26.7% | 18.0% | 17.8% | 19.9% | 18.3% | 9.0% | 17.8% | 48.7% | 21.2% |
| Consistency (μ/σ) | 0.36 | 0.07 | 0.14 | 0.36 | 0.32 | -0.14 | 0.53 | -0.49 | -0.21 | -0.18 | 0.42 | -0.16 |
| Win Rate (%) | 63% | 38% | 50% | 63% | 63% | 43% | 71% | 29% | 57% | 43% | 71% | 43% |
| Winning / Losing Months | ▲5▼3 | ▲3▼5 | ▲4▼4 | ▲5▼3 | ▲5▼3 | ▲3▼4 | ▲5▼2 | ▲2▼5 | ▲4▼3 | ▲3▼4 | ▲5▼2 | ▲3▼4 |
| Longest Win / Loss Streak | ▲3▼2 | ▲2▼5 | ▲3▼2 | ▲3▼2 | ▲3▼1 | ▲2▼3 | ▲3▼1 | ▲1▼4 | ▲3▼3 | ▲1▼2 | ▲5▼2 | ▲2▼3 |
| Best | +65.8%in January 2021 | +36.1%in February 2019 | +15.5%in March 2024 | +53.6%in April 2020 | +33.7%in May 2020 | +27.0%in June 2021 | +50.5%in July 2021 | +20.1%in August 2019 | +9.0%in September 2020 | +27.1%in October 2022 | +126.4%in November 2020 | +28.0%in December 2023 |
| Worst | -33.3%in January 2022 | -21.5%in February 2025 | -15.4%in March 2021 | -22.0%in April 2022 | -20.2%in May 2019 | -29.5%in June 2019 | -10.5%in July 2019 | -35.1%in August 2024 | -13.7%in September 2024 | -26.5%in October 2023 | -20.8%in November 2024 | -31.6%in December 2020 |
−35.1%+126.4%
2026
Jan+49.4%
Feb+21.6%
Mar-5.2%
Apr-9.6%
May+2.7%
Jun+5.8%
Jul—
Aug—
Sep—
Oct—
Nov—
Dec—
2025
Jan-5.2%
Feb-21.5%
Mar-8.4%
Apr+0.7%
May-6.9%
Jun+3.9%
Jul+7.1%
Aug-18.5%
Sep+7.2%
Oct+5.1%
Nov-4.3%
Dec+13.5%
2024
Jan+1.6%
Feb-8.7%
Mar+15.5%
Apr+3.5%
May+29.2%
Jun-16.7%
Jul+0.4%
Aug-35.1%
Sep-13.7%
Oct-18.7%
Nov-20.8%
Dec-3.4%
2023
Jan-2.0%
Feb-21.2%
Mar+10.6%
Apr-13.5%
May-3.9%
Jun-4.9%
Jul-3.2%
Aug-3.9%
Sep-8.6%
Oct-26.5%
Nov+2.3%
Dec+28.0%
2022
Jan-33.3%
Feb-9.3%
Mar+12.1%
Apr-22.0%
May+8.1%
Jun-1.7%
Jul+14.9%
Aug-19.4%
Sep-10.6%
Oct+27.1%
Nov+17.0%
Dec+2.1%
2021
Jan+65.8%
Feb-10.6%
Mar-15.4%
Apr+36.6%
May+3.5%
Jun+27.0%
Jul+50.5%
Aug+6.5%
Sep+2.2%
Oct-10.3%
Nov+2.1%
Dec-27.9%
2020
Jan+4.9%
Feb+26.4%
Mar+15.5%
Apr+53.6%
May+33.7%
Jun+4.4%
Jul+15.4%
Aug-12.4%
Sep+9.0%
Oct-4.6%
Nov+126.4%
Dec-31.6%
2019
Jan+8.7%
Feb+36.1%
Mar-10.0%
Apr+27.9%
May-20.2%
Jun-29.5%
Jul-10.5%
Aug+20.1%
Sep+1.2%
Oct+5.2%
Nov+21.6%
Dec-3.9%
2018
Jan—
Feb—
Mar—
Apr—
May—
Jun—
Jul—
Aug—
Sep—
Oct—
Nov—
Dec—
Avg
Jan+11.2%
Feb+1.6%
Mar+1.9%
Apr+9.7%
May+5.8%
Jun-2.5%
Jul+10.7%
Aug-9.0%
Sep-1.9%
Oct-3.2%
Nov+20.6%
Dec-3.3%
Median
Jan+3.2%
Feb-9.0%
Mar+2.7%
Apr+2.1%
May+3.1%
Jun-1.7%
Jul+7.1%
Aug-12.4%
Sep+1.2%
Oct-4.6%
Nov+2.3%
Dec-3.4%
Last 5Y Avg
Jan+2.1%
Feb-7.8%
Mar+4.9%
Apr-8.2%
May+5.8%
Jun+1.5%
Jul+13.9%
Aug-14.1%
Sep-4.7%
Oct-4.6%
Nov-0.7%
Dec+2.4%
Std Dev (σ)
Jan31.6%
Feb22.8%
Mar12.8%
Apr26.7%
May18.0%
Jun17.8%
Jul19.9%
Aug18.3%
Sep9.0%
Oct17.8%
Nov48.7%
Dec21.2%
Consistency (μ/σ)
Jan0.36
Feb0.07
Mar0.14
Apr0.36
May0.32
Jun-0.14
Jul0.53
Aug-0.49
Sep-0.21
Oct-0.18
Nov0.42
Dec-0.16
Win Rate (%)
Jan63%
Feb38%
Mar50%
Apr63%
May63%
Jun43%
Jul71%
Aug29%
Sep57%
Oct43%
Nov71%
Dec43%
Winning / Losing Months
Jan▲5▼3
Feb▲3▼5
Mar▲4▼4
Apr▲5▼3
May▲5▼3
Jun▲3▼4
Jul▲5▼2
Aug▲2▼5
Sep▲4▼3
Oct▲3▼4
Nov▲5▼2
Dec▲3▼4
Longest Win / Loss Streak
Jan▲3▼2
Feb▲2▼5
Mar▲3▼2
Apr▲3▼2
May▲3▼1
Jun▲2▼3
Jul▲3▼1
Aug▲1▼4
Sep▲3▼3
Oct▲1▼2
Nov▲5▼2
Dec▲2▼3
Best
Jan+65.8%2021
Feb+36.1%2019
Mar+15.5%2024
Apr+53.6%2020
May+33.7%2020
Jun+27.0%2021
Jul+50.5%2021
Aug+20.1%2019
Sep+9.0%2020
Oct+27.1%2022
Nov+126.4%2020
Dec+28.0%2023
Worst
Jan-33.3%2022
Feb-21.5%2025
Mar-15.4%2021
Apr-22.0%2022
May-20.2%2019
Jun-29.5%2019
Jul-10.5%2019
Aug-35.1%2024
Sep-13.7%2024
Oct-26.5%2023
Nov-20.8%2024
Dec-31.6%2020
−35.1%+126.4%
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