Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what MRSH is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$481.92
Method range
$43.50 – $481.92
median $226.78
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $481.92 | +173.83% |
| Exit multiple | $249.32 | +41.67% |
| Analyst target | $204.25 | +16.06% |
| Graham number | $43.50 | -75.28% |
- Forward DCF$481.92
- Exit multiple$249.32
- Analyst target$204.25
- Graham number$43.50
Stock price
$175.99
FCF / share (TTM)
$3.01
3Y FCF CAGR
13.9%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$145.91
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
16.3%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -20.6% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
13.9%
Your model implies
16.3%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 14% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.7% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% |
| 6.7% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 10.5% |
| 7.7% | 18.1% | 17.2% | 16.3% | 15.3% | 14.2% |
| 8.7% | 20.6% | 19.9% | 19.1% | 18.2% | 17.3% |
| 9.7% | 22.9% | 22.3% | 21.6% | 20.9% | 20.1% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
1.44
Fair vs growth
Net debt
$18.8B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.60
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Marsh & McLennan Companies (MRSH) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks3.41% TTM
- Dividend Profile2.61% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History5 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.