Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what MSEX is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$38.34
Method range
$18.79 – $76.12
median $48.92
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $38.34 | -32.24% |
| Exit multiple | $76.12 | +34.54% |
| Analyst target | $59.50 | +5.16% |
| Graham number | $18.79 | -66.79% |
- Forward DCF$38.34
- Exit multiple$76.12
- Analyst target$59.50
- Graham number$18.79
Stock price
$56.58
EPS (TTM)
$2.41
5Y EPS CAGR
1.6%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$38.34
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
6.7%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -47.6% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
1.6%
Your model implies
6.7%
Next-year analyst consensus
4.6%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | -0.9% |
| 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% |
| 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% |
| 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% |
| 10.5% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.8% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.96
Low vs growth
Net debt
$416M
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.77
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Middlesex Water (MSEX) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks
- Dividend Profile2.51% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History4 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.