Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what MSI is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$644.36
Method range
$27.61 – $644.36
median $499.16
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $644.36 | +59.36% |
| Exit multiple | $492.33 | +21.76% |
| Analyst target | $506.00 | +25.15% |
| Graham number | $27.61 | -93.17% |
- Forward DCF$644.36
- Exit multiple$492.33
- Analyst target$506.00
- Graham number$27.61
Stock price
$404.33
FCF / share (TTM)
$2.35
3Y FCF CAGR
13.6%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$84.26
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
35.2%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -379.8% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
13.6%
Your model implies
35.2%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 14% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.1% | 31.1% | 30.0% | 28.8% | 27.4% | 25.9% |
| 8.1% | 34.1% | 33.2% | 32.2% | 31.1% | 29.9% |
| 9.1% | 36.9% | 36.1% | 35.2% | 34.3% | 33.3% |
| 10.1% | 39.5% | 38.8% | 38.1% | 37.2% | 36.4% |
| 11.1% | 42.0% | 41.4% | 40.7% | 40.0% | 39.2% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$8.6B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.89
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Motorola Solutions (MSI) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks1.30% TTM
- Dividend Profile1.17% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History8 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.